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Doug Schoen: Democrats face trouble from population losses in high-tax blue states
Fox News ^ | June 24,2018 | Douglas Schoen

Posted on 06/24/2018 5:26:04 PM PDT by Hojczyk

States with high taxes are at risk of losing people, business and money. In fact, conservative economists Arthur Laffer and Stephen Moore argue that up to 1.3 million people will leave California, Connecticut, New Jersey, Minnesota and New York over the next three years and move to states with lower taxes.

The impact of tax migration is particularly interesting to examine in a state such as Florida, a low-tax swing state that is expected to pick up two Electoral College votes. While the northern area around Orlando contains large communities of conservative-leaning Midwestern migrants, Fort Lauderdale and Boca Raton see just as many left-leaning Democrats from the Northeast.

Thus, given the recent population increases in Florida, the new residents’ stances on taxes and on issues in general will be critical for the Democratic Party to examine heading into 2020. Consequently, the party’s overall national perception among voters, specifically with regard to economic policy, should be a primary focus for the Democratic Party.

Democrats are certainly hoping that left-leaning migrants to Florida from New York, Connecticut and New Jersey – who hold liberal beliefs but are looking for a tax break – will offset those moving to the state with conservative beliefs.

Ultimately, in order for Democrats to overcome the issue of tax migration at the ballot this November and in 2020, the party will need to once again define itself as the party with a pro-growth economic platform that benefits all Americans.

(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Government; US: Connecticut; US: Florida; US: New Jersey; US: New York
KEYWORDS: 2018midterms; 2020election; andrewcuomo; bluestates; connecticut; flee; florida; newjersey; newyork; palmsprings; schoen
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1 posted on 06/24/2018 5:26:04 PM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: Hojczyk

That’s why they are legalizing marijuana


2 posted on 06/24/2018 5:27:39 PM PDT by ronnie raygun
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To: Hojczyk

The problem is these fools will vote for democrats.....most are iyi...


3 posted on 06/24/2018 5:27:59 PM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: Hojczyk

Hopefully when they flee the high tax areas they will not bring any liberal voting habits (which causes the problems in the first place) with them. No sense spreading the misery.


4 posted on 06/24/2018 5:28:51 PM PDT by JudyinCanada
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To: Hojczyk

South FL is a Yankee colony.

The Panhandle saved the state for Donald Trump.


5 posted on 06/24/2018 5:30:50 PM PDT by Jacquerie (ArticleVBlog.com)
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To: JudyinCanada

The problem is that is exactly what they do. Can’t tell you the number of liberals in my area that moved to avoid the taxes and regulations and then vote for the same party that caused their move. Liberalism is a mental disease.


6 posted on 06/24/2018 5:31:55 PM PDT by animal172 (Call me simply deplorable.)
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To: Hojczyk
"who hold liberal beliefs but are looking for a tax break ... "

Raise spending! Bigger Government! Reparations Now! And Tax breaks for me but not for thee! .

7 posted on 06/24/2018 5:32:49 PM PDT by tinyowl (A is A)
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To: Hojczyk

Liberals move out to take their high tax views to low tax states to transform them and make them like what they fled.

Rinse, cycle and repeat.


8 posted on 06/24/2018 5:33:49 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Jacquerie
He did well in the I-4 corridor as well.

The problem is when these fools move and set up shop and ruin their new habitat, like locusts, with their failed policies. Colorado and Northern VA come to mind.

9 posted on 06/24/2018 5:34:37 PM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: JudyinCanada

I’m not so sure this is good news. Concentrating like-minded people in enclaves basically reduces their influence in the Electoral College and also in Congress.

Reducing SALT deductibility (especially for high income people in high tax states) is still the right thing to do, and should lead to some real structural reforms which will help these States in the long run BUT the specific electoral consequences of people moving out of true Blue States is probably not great for Republicans.


10 posted on 06/24/2018 5:37:32 PM PDT by edwinland
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To: Hojczyk

That’s why the Dems are hell-bent trying to get as many illiterate Central Americans into this country before the 2020 election. All they need are their names on the voter rolls. The Rat Party will supply the votes.


11 posted on 06/24/2018 5:39:33 PM PDT by txrefugee
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To: edwinland

I agree. Keep the lefties in lefty states, for sure. It’s like containing a cancer on the rest of the country.


12 posted on 06/24/2018 5:42:47 PM PDT by JudyinCanada
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To: ronnie raygun

I believe you’re not incorrect on that one.


13 posted on 06/24/2018 5:44:01 PM PDT by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the days of Lot; they did eat, they drank, they bought, they sold ......)
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To: JudyinCanada

A dream: gerrymander the USA into two sovereign states, one conservative and the other libtard.


14 posted on 06/24/2018 5:45:17 PM PDT by luvbach1 (I hope Trump runs roughshod over the inevitable obstuctionists, Dems, progs, libs, or RINOs!)
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To: txrefugee
All they need are their names on the voter rolls. The Rat Party will supply the votes.

They don't even need the votes. All they need is for the immigrants to be counted in the next census.

15 posted on 06/24/2018 5:58:52 PM PDT by SeeSharp
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To: Hojczyk

The libs are moving south. But their real problem is that most of those who move are not liberal and when the census is taken in 2020 the Blue States are going to lose seats in Congress.


16 posted on 06/24/2018 6:00:00 PM PDT by Brilliant
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To: Hojczyk

Yeah, but they are fleeing to red states and bringing their politics and beliefs with them. They’re too stupid to realize this.


17 posted on 06/24/2018 6:02:48 PM PDT by peggybac (Government is about force. It always has been about force.)
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To: Jacquerie

Its not all of South Florida. Its Dade, Palm and Broward counties....ie Greater Miami that has been flooded with New Yorkers and New Jerseyites. The rest of the state definitely leans conservative and North Florida as well as significant parts of Central Florida are still very Southern.


18 posted on 06/24/2018 6:03:59 PM PDT by FLT-bird
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To: Hojczyk

Dems dont care, they know this means democrats move to other states to fuch up politics elsewhere.


19 posted on 06/24/2018 6:07:27 PM PDT by Secret Agent Man ( Gone Galt; Not averse to Going Bronson.)
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To: Secret Agent Man

Its actually a deliberate strategy. Spreading out the libtard wealthy to other states. Not,only for votes, but for campaign donation issues as well.


20 posted on 06/24/2018 6:08:31 PM PDT by Secret Agent Man ( Gone Galt; Not averse to Going Bronson.)
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