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Major Hurricane Michael Live Thread II
NHC/NOAA ^ | 9 October 2018 | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 10/09/2018 4:49:06 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Major Hurricane Michael is churning toward the northeastern Gulf of Mexico coast. Florida Governor Rick Scott declared a state of emergency Monday for 35 counties with mandatory coastal evacuations in the FL Panhandle. 1,250 National Guard troops are aiding the process and more than 4,000 more placed on standby.

FEMA is already on the ground in Florida; other federal agencies are also preparing to assist people in the storm's path.

Alabama Gov. Kay Ivey on Monday declared a state of emergency for the entire state. Georgia Governor Nathan Deal issued a state of emergency for 92 counties ahead of Hurricane Michael landfall.

Meanwhile, Tallahassee city government (Andrew Gillum, Mayor & D'Rat FL Gubernatorial candidate) offices are "closed until further notice." Tallahassee International Airport ‏is suspending commercial flight activity as 12:01 a.m. ET on Wednesday but expects to resume activity on Thursday.

The U.S. military moved its aircraft from the Panhandle on Monday. Roughly 50 F-22 stealth fighter jets — valued around $150 million each — have been relocated from the Tyndall Air Force Base, while the U.S. Navy said it is moving all its training aircraft from Pensacola.

Energy Production The Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE) on Tuesday estimated that around 726 MMcf/d (28.4%) of natural gas production and 670,831 b/d (39.5%) of oil production in the GOM had been shut in ahead of the storm.

As of midday Tuesday, 75 platforms and three rigs had been evacuated, while eight dynamically positioned rigs had been moved out of the storm’s path as a precaution, according to BSEE.

Gulf of Mexico Satellite Channels

Public Advisories

NHC Discussions


NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Key West FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar New Orleans, LA
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Mobile AL/Pensacola FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Panama City, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Tallahassee, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Tampa Bay, FL

Hurricane Michael Thread I


TOPICS: Breaking News; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Georgia; US: North Carolina; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: gorebullwarming; hurricane; hurricanemichael; localnews; michael; nautinurse; tropical
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To: dirtboy

Whoa. That is impressive.


481 posted on 10/10/2018 10:48:04 AM PDT by Billthedrill
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To: dirtboy
I was wondering if they were going to bump it to 155 at landfall. The 919 definitely supports that number.

It seems almost sacrilege to say this, but the satellite pictures are absolute perfect beauty and symmetry.

You may never see a more perfectly formed and presented storm.

482 posted on 10/10/2018 10:48:25 AM PDT by commish (Freedom tastes Sweetest to those who have fought to preserve it!)
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To: Iron Munro

I remember Camille & what it did to Nelson County in our state (VA). The body count was between 150-160 and some were never found. Nelson is 1.5 - 2 hours down the road.

Michael just popped up to 155 mph on Weather Channel - almost a Cat 5.


483 posted on 10/10/2018 10:48:27 AM PDT by Qiviut (McCain & Obama's Legacy in two words: DONALD TRUMP!)
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To: NautiNurse

Oh my God.


484 posted on 10/10/2018 10:48:31 AM PDT by SE Mom (Screaming Eagle mom)
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To: NautiNurse

The flipping outer bands are stretching out just south of Birmingham.


485 posted on 10/10/2018 10:49:12 AM PDT by gov_bean_ counter (Ruth Bader Ginsburg doctor is a taxidermist.)
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To: All

I wonder if one of the NDBC’s weather stations in Panama City got knock out by the storm. Or

https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/stationhome.html?id=8729108

Look at the wind chart. It went from gusting to 93 kts to reporting a 0.


486 posted on 10/10/2018 10:49:26 AM PDT by MplsSteve
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To: dirtboy

That’s 2 MPH away from a CAT 5, correct?


487 posted on 10/10/2018 10:49:47 AM PDT by RushIsMyTeddyBear
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To: NautiNurse

ABC is showing what it is like on the ground in Panama City. A roof just fell on some SUVs and the wind is unbelievable.


488 posted on 10/10/2018 10:49:54 AM PDT by sheikdetailfeather
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To: SE Mom

Gusting to 175 at eye wall (Rush talking about it).


489 posted on 10/10/2018 10:50:28 AM PDT by Qiviut (McCain & Obama's Legacy in two words: DONALD TRUMP!)
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To: Billthedrill
Tyndall Air Station will be Tyndall Naval Station after this - looks like a direct hit:


490 posted on 10/10/2018 10:50:32 AM PDT by dirtboy
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Comment #491 Removed by Moderator

To: Reno89519

2 mph shy of being a CAT 5...


492 posted on 10/10/2018 10:51:01 AM PDT by Mathews (Ecclesiastes 10:2 (NIV), Luke 22:36 (NIV))
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To: RushIsMyTeddyBear

Correct, and they could well upgrade it to Cat 5 after they study the damage afterwards.


493 posted on 10/10/2018 10:51:17 AM PDT by dirtboy
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To: dirtboy

Rush just reported winds 155 MPH at the eye and gusts of 175 MPH, on his radio program.


494 posted on 10/10/2018 10:52:02 AM PDT by blam
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To: dirtboy

Wow, sadly, I am afraid the beautiful town of Navarre,FL is GONE.


495 posted on 10/10/2018 10:52:18 AM PDT by Biggirl ("One Lord, one faith, one baptism" - Ephesians 4:5)
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To: dirtboy

Lots of lightning at landfall.


496 posted on 10/10/2018 10:52:34 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Two-door Ford suffered unrepairable damage after a head-on collision with facts & truth.)
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To: NautiNurse

Looters and burglaries already? I am streaming Weather Channel and others on my computer and a few minutes ago, while the reporter is talking a group of what appears to be young men with bags head up between the apartment buildings, like looking for way in.


497 posted on 10/10/2018 10:52:42 AM PDT by Reno89519 (No Amnesty! No Catch-and-Release! Just Say No to All Illegal Aliens! Arrest & Deport!y)
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To: RushIsMyTeddyBear

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php

4
(major) 130-156 mph
113-136 kt
209-251 km/h Catastrophic damage will occur: Well-built framed homes can sustain severe damage with loss of most of the roof structure and/or some exterior walls. Most trees will be snapped or uprooted and power poles downed. Fallen trees and power poles will isolate residential areas. Power outages will last weeks to possibly months. Most of the area will be uninhabitable for weeks or months.

5
(major) 157 mph or higher
137 kt or higher
252 km/h or higher Catastrophic damage will occur: A high percentage of framed homes will be destroyed, with total roof failure and wall collapse. Fallen trees and power poles will isolate residential areas. Power outages will last for weeks to possibly months. Most of the area will be uninhabitable for weeks or months.


498 posted on 10/10/2018 10:52:47 AM PDT by Qiviut (McCain & Obama's Legacy in two words: DONALD TRUMP!)
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To: Mathews

And the pictures don’t look threatening. Got three channels livestreaming. Chance for day off for the locals. Fun for the fearmongering reports to enjoy the weather and on-air antics.


499 posted on 10/10/2018 10:54:51 AM PDT by Reno89519 (No Amnesty! No Catch-and-Release! Just Say No to All Illegal Aliens! Arrest & Deport!y)
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To: Biggirl

Navarre is OK. Is 50 miles west of the action. Beach erosion, minor roof damage at most.


500 posted on 10/10/2018 10:55:02 AM PDT by abb ("News reporting is too important to be left to the journalists." Walter Abbott (1950 -))
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