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NBC/WSJ Poll: Donít Look Now, But Ö Here Comes Trump
Hot Air ^ | 22 Oct 2018 | Ed Morrissey

Posted on 10/22/2018 9:44:08 AM PDT by mandaladon

Remember when Donald Trump’s widespread unpopularity would fuel a blue wave in the midterms? Trump’s still underwater on job approval, but a new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll puts Trump at his best rating as president yet, 47/49. Republican interest in the election continues to rise, with both parties hitting a new record for midterm engagement:

The Kavanaugh effect seems pretty well established now. Not only did it provide a catalyst for GOP enthusiasm, that burst hasn’t subsided with Kavanaugh’s confirmation, either. On top of that, Republicans now have a +15 advantage on the economy, the highest level ever for the GOP. Those numbers can’t look good for Democrats who have been campaigning in this cycle to make the midterms a referendum on Trump.

Even the good news for Democrats turns out to be something else, as when the WSJ notes that they’re still up by nine on the generic ballot. That turns out to be location dependent:

This mirrors a poll last week from the Washington Post and ABC News. Their poll put Democrats up 11 points on the generic ballot, but Republicans at +1 in the 66 battleground districts, also a big swing from their earlier polling. That suggests that Democratic enthusiasm intensified in districts where they were already safe, and that Republican enthusiasm has changed the election where the House majority will be determined.

(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2018election; 2018midterms; 2020election; edmorrissey; election2018; election2020; hotgas; nevertrump; nevertrumper; nevertrumpers; trump
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1) D's +9 in national generic ballot 2) In House battlegrounds generic ballot tied 3) Trump approval rating highest of presidency 4) GOP largest lead on economy in poll history~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~Blue Wave???
1 posted on 10/22/2018 9:44:08 AM PDT by mandaladon
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To: mandaladon

Here comes Salem

Talking down Trump again


2 posted on 10/22/2018 9:48:08 AM PDT by Phil DiBasquette
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To: mandaladon

This is the best things have looked so far. Rs should have 54 Senate seats and House is too close to call. There is always a break to one side during the last week. That break will determine who takes the House.


3 posted on 10/22/2018 9:48:11 AM PDT by SaxxonWoods (Stop The Madness. Do Not Respond To Vanity Posts.)
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To: mandaladon
Trump’s still underwater on job approval

Is he?

Is he really?

4 posted on 10/22/2018 9:50:26 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (If White Privilege is real, why did Elizabeth Warren lie about being an Indian?)
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To: SaxxonWoods

Exactly. To paraphrase Rush in his interview with Hannity, the election outcome will be affected by things that haven’t happened yet. That being said, if we’ve peaked, we peaked just when early voting (a democrat invention) started. I don’t know whose idea the migrant “caravan” was, but it was an exquisitely awful idea if you’re rooting for the democrats. Not sure what they’re thinking on the blue side, but I hope they keep up the good work!


5 posted on 10/22/2018 9:52:39 AM PDT by scottinoc
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To: mandaladon

Trump is in the mid- high 50s in any legit poll and they know it.


6 posted on 10/22/2018 9:53:36 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: mandaladon

“That suggests that Democratic enthusiasm intensified in districts where they were already safe”

Alternatively, Republicans are most effectively silenced in districts where Democrats dominate. Better to hang up on the pollster or lie to them. Leftists are an intolerant, unforgiving, vengeful lot.


7 posted on 10/22/2018 9:53:58 AM PDT by rightwingcrazy
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To: mandaladon
Republicans now have a +15 advantage on the economy, the highest level ever for the GOP.

Wow. I didn't know that the R advantage had gotten that high.


8 posted on 10/22/2018 9:56:39 AM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom
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To: mandaladon

Generic ballot is meaningless.

House majority will be determined by turnout in key districts. Senate appears in the bag.


9 posted on 10/22/2018 9:57:23 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: mandaladon

Ironically, the “Blue Wave” might be washing away the Caravan via Hurricane Willa!!!


10 posted on 10/22/2018 9:57:55 AM PDT by jdsteel (Americans are Dreamers too!!!)
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To: scottinoc

The illegal immigration issue just jumped up to the top of the list for voters.

The October surprise engineered by the Demoncrats was suppose to be Kave. When that didn’t work...they began to push the poor migrant issue.. which is backfiring bigly.

Another week of headlines ought to push a few more races into the GOP category


11 posted on 10/22/2018 9:59:54 AM PDT by blackberry1
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To: mandaladon

Democrats are a doomed party. They have great depth in limited geography... tiling up their base just means they win with 70% of the vote in districts they would have only won with 60% of the vote..

And still LOSE everywhere else with 45% of the vote or less.


12 posted on 10/22/2018 10:06:52 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: mandaladon

“Those numbers can’t look good for Democrats who have been campaigning in this cycle to make the midterms a referendum on Trump. “

OK. So it is a referendum. He’s great. Dems suck.


13 posted on 10/22/2018 10:14:05 AM PDT by Eleutheria5 (¬ďIf you are not prepared to use force to defend civilization, then be prepared to accept barbarism.)
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To: mandaladon

Odd that Trump has low job approval.


14 posted on 10/22/2018 10:25:23 AM PDT by lurk
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To: SaxxonWoods

I think we pick up 6 Senate seats, hold the House.


15 posted on 10/22/2018 10:32:57 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: ProtectOurFreedom

But when they go low, kick them.


16 posted on 10/22/2018 10:36:32 AM PDT by AndyJackson
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To: mandaladon

I still believe there is a chance Karin Housley, R-MN will defeat Tina Smith, current US senator from MN now holding Al Franken’s seat.


17 posted on 10/22/2018 10:42:08 AM PDT by Gumdrop (24.)
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To: jdsteel

I had no idea there was a hurricane headed for Mexico, so I checked it out after reading your post. It’s a CAT 5! Headed right through where the invading army is marching.


18 posted on 10/22/2018 10:44:10 AM PDT by FrdmLvr (They never thought she would lose.)
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To: scottinoc

It’s going to be influenced by this Central American Invasion Force.

Handled right, it could ice it for the right.


19 posted on 10/22/2018 10:46:44 AM PDT by RinaseaofDs
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To: SaxxonWoods
"There is always a break to one side during the last week. That break will determine who takes the House."

______________

Just HOW ARE YOU going to determine that "a break to one side during the last week" determined the eventual House results?

That is foolish speculation on your part.

But I guess it may make you feel somewhat better.

20 posted on 10/22/2018 10:56:47 AM PDT by a little elbow grease (duct tape and cable ties hold more worth than pussy hats and resistance)
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