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IA-1 (Blum-R) Leans Dem per RCP:


10/30/2018: D-41,813 (46.0%); R-28,849 (31.8%); I-19,619 (21.6%)

11/01/2016: D-52,511 (45.4%); R-35,119 (30.4%); I-27,614 (23.8%)

These are equivalent points in the election cycles of both years. Compared to 2016, D up 0.6%, R up 1.4% and I down 2.2%. Blum won relatively comfortably in 2016 by 7.6%. Unless I'm missing something, he's doing better than 2016. This is a seat the Dems absolutely need to flip the house I believe. Again these are BALLOT RETURNS.


1 posted on 10/30/2018 7:10:08 PM PDT by Ravi
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To: LS

FYI.


2 posted on 10/30/2018 7:10:28 PM PDT by Ravi
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To: Ravi

It is not clear how those numbers are to be interpreted, they look like the Demons have a substantial lead.


3 posted on 10/30/2018 7:13:52 PM PDT by arrogantsob (See "Chaos and Mayhem" at Amazon.com)
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To: Ravi

hey does anyone know what this means when a betting site posts this when I try to bet on a certain political race—

“The Bet to win exceeds the maximum allowed for the bet type in event 2018 US House of Representatives Election - Majority Outcome.


18 posted on 10/30/2018 9:26:27 PM PDT by terart
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To: Ravi

Good news


21 posted on 10/30/2018 11:56:06 PM PDT by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
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To: Ravi

Hi, Ravi -

Unless the No Party folks throw heavily for Republicans and all the Republicans vote Republican it looks like it could go Democrat easily.

I sure hope it doesn’t.


22 posted on 10/31/2018 12:09:57 AM PDT by Notthereyet (NotThereYet)
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