Posted on 11/02/2018 10:07:45 AM PDT by MaxistheBest
There are so many Rouda signs all over Newport Beach that it could only be possible by outside help and money. Every sign I actually see in someones yard I stop and ask them if the support open borders and Newport and our district going LA and becoming a sanctuary city? They look dismayed and have no answer.
LETS SHOW LA & SF we are not gonna take it anymore and march our votes right up to Sacramento!
YES on 6
Vote for John Cox!
Do you have an idea what the state legislature races look like?
Isn’t Antonio Sabato running for a seat in Ventura County. If so, how is he doing?
Mail votes CA48. Rep 43304 dem 30991 44-32 percent
RCP toss up
CA49 leans dem
Rep 34535 dem 27394. 42-33%
Do you have any percentages for CA39? - Young Kim
Dana Andrews was certainly not a woman.
Reps 26,999 dems 19,804 44-32%
of the 7 “close” districts the Reps lead in every one but CA10(tied)
https://www.politicaldata.com/absentee-vote-tracker/
Both Houses at the State level will remain solidly Dim.
We MIGHT break the 2/3 majority in the Senate.
Great news. Go GOP candidates all across the country!
That’s good news and I hope it bodes well for others. RCP lists CA-48 as a tossup.
Looks like the vote suppression push polls are ending and Democrats are now trying to get their base scared to get out the vote.
+++++
I’m betting you are right.
Keep watching all the polls and you should see an “unexpected” Republican surge in the last few days before the election.
They are just turning off their Propaganda Mode and turning on their Election Mode in their polling.
CA10 CA25
CA39 CA45 CA48
FL15 FL26 FL27
These are the CD’s that are up for grabs...part of the 36 seats being fought over...the 3 in Florida are all running at a tie..
The whole "Democrats taking the House" narrative is based on this flimsy premise. The Democrats basically have to run the table on every contested seat. Besides that, there are several seats that are likely to flip D-R. So this would mean the Democrats have to do even better than the +23 being bandied about. The Democrats can take the House by flipping 23 GOP seats ONLY in the highly unlikely event the Republicans fail to flip any seats themselves. Otherwise the number of seats the D's need to flip goes up accordingly.
LS is putting the Dem gains between +8 and +15 which would keep the House in GOP hands by a safe margin.
I don't follow this nearly as close as LS but my gut feeling tells me the Republicans should not be losing ANY seats given the state of the economy and the fact that we have a president working harder for the American people than any other president in our lifetimes.
On top of that, the Republicans are leading the Democrats in early voting in just about every state (that is releasing figures) which is an astonishing fact. Usually the Democrats build up a big lead in EV.
I'll leave the predictions of number of seats lost/gained to the experts but my gut tells me the Republicans stand to have a very good night on Tuesday.
“LS is putting the Dem gains between +8 and +15 which would keep the House in GOP hands by a safe margin.”
I agree with this and everything you said...they are counting checks they haven’t cashed yet...like FL-27...they count this seat in their numbers ...when Donna Shalala dba Clinton Hack loses, they will need two more seats to stay on track to take the house. If these CA seats go red, they will need 12 more pickups to make it.
One thing for sure...California Republicans will really make a difference this year....what gets me is that 36 Republicans decide to retire instead of going through one more fight for our country...shameful
Excellent news!
The friggin’ Rouda folks have been flooding us with mailers and with clowns trying to come to the door to peddle their propaganda. Thankfully, younger kid has a dog with a loud and unfriendly bark that stops most of them half way between the curb and the front door. Close enough that I can read what they’re holding, but far enough away that they turn around when I say (through the barrage of barking) that I’m not interested.
Go Dana!
It’s a step. I have been encouraged by California this election cycle, maybe we can make real gains.
“CA will return 14 Republicans to the House.
How many will your state send?”
Exactly! And these puds here on FR who somehow have the idea that CA is some sort of monlithic liberal place. If the SCOTUS had not come up with this One Man, One Vote bull$hit, CA may never have gotten to where it is today.
Dana is a good man. This is indeed excellent news. The dimoKKKRATS were hoping to take a number of California seats for the blue wave.
I hope Steve Hill can hold on in CA. 25th. I’m seeing Demobot Kati Hill commercials multiple times a day on TV. Even my non political wife turns the channel when it plays its just a turn off. We are 60 miles from this district. Of course her commercials have her surrounded by kids, spouting moderate talking points. In fact just more identity politics by the left. Her claim to fame is being a bi-sexual homeless advocate. Of course that’s how the media plays it breathlessly reporting she would be the first openly bisexual Congressman woman or something to that effect. Like that’s a resume enhancer.
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