Posted on 11/02/2018 10:07:45 AM PDT by MaxistheBest
Unbelievable how much money the Democrats are pouring into Orange County races. Doing what they do best, wasting money, but at least it’s their own money this time. All negative ads, TV and YouTube are unwatchable these days.
My wife and I already voted for Dana for the 15th time.
I hope this is true. Mrs. KC and I Voted for Dana.
I met him last week at a Neighbor’s Home. Dana is an old time GOP / Libertarian which makes him a target.
He Votes against Government interfering in our lives and the Rats send out Mailers accusing him of Housing discrimination against Gays, nothing he ever said.
The latest one accused him of not backing a Ban on Slaughtering Horses for Food. I’ll bet that was a small part of some ridiculous Bill. Of course, tell a Liberal how many Horses are sent to Slaughterhouses in Mexico to send the Meat to Europe and they will call you a Liar.
Dana also Voted against the Tax Bill because many parts of it would impact his Constituency, especially the limit on SALT Deductions. He tried to get it raised from $10,000 to $20,000 but it never happened. Many people in his District use up most of that $10,000 Deduction just paying their Property Taxes.
Unfortunately, OC went for Hillary in 2016.
The only barometer I have in favor of Republicans where I live in South County is that my Car hasn’t been Keyed yet.
The “TRUMP 45” Vanity License Plates I have on it do get plenty of attention though, with most people I talk to telling they wouldn’t have the guts to put anything Trump on their Cars.
“While California overall breaks in favor of Democrats and against Trump, CA-48 is proving to be the firewall holding back the blue wave.”
Speaking of which, we probably shouldn’t count our chickens until Rosie O’Donnell sings.
I live in Steve Hill’s district (25), and I’ve been carefully tracking all of the “battleground” congressional districts which Democrats are trying to flip in order to win the House. The data from https://www.politicaldata.com/absentee-vote-tracker/ has been very consistent for the past two weeks: In every instance (except CD 10, where the Republican has only a very narrow lead) the Republican candidate is way over-performing in returned absentee ballots relative to the requested absentee ballots, while the Democrat is either holding steady or under-performing. Independent-returned absentee ballots are way down, seniors are way up, and young people are way down.
What this says is that Republicans have the enthusiasm and turn-out advantage in these critical districts. Furthermore, the Republicans are building up big leads in the returned absentee ballots, often by ten or twelve thousand votes (assuming most people vote the way they are registered). Those leads will be hard to overcome, even if independents break for the Democrats (which may or may not happen, and could easily break the other way), and even if Democrats do better in election-day voting (which historically has not been the case in these districts).
Accordingly, I’ve placed bets at PredictIt.org on the Republicans in California districts 25, 39, 45, 48, and 49. I would have also bet on Duncan Hunter in CA-50, except that the odds aren’t good enough to make any money (he’s already favored 3-1).
I also bet on Republicans to keep the House, since it will be hard for Democrats to gain control if they lose most of the above races in California.
If the pollsters have been counting seats like Rohrabacher’s as tossup or lean dem, things are looking very very good for us.
I wish the Pubs had put some money into my district. We used to be solid Pub until 6 years ago when Ami Bera beat Dan Lundgren. It was close last time when Sheriff Scott Jones ran against him, but this year the Pubs seem to have just given up on it.
...and he lost. darnit
sadly he was defeated
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