This is one of the seven California seats the Dims need to flip in order to take the house. They are in la la land if they think Orange County and other red districts in California will turn blue! I had an organizer for Gil Cisneros show up at my door talking trash about Young Kim. I told him to go the other side of the tracks where the real Democrat trash is located!
Even Jeff Denham is expected to win his Turlock/Modesto district with a 39% Hispanic population.
The whole "Democrats taking the House" narrative is based on this flimsy premise. The Democrats basically have to run the table on every contested seat. Besides that, there are several seats that are likely to flip D-R. So this would mean the Democrats have to do even better than the +23 being bandied about. The Democrats can take the House by flipping 23 GOP seats ONLY in the highly unlikely event the Republicans fail to flip any seats themselves. Otherwise the number of seats the D's need to flip goes up accordingly.
LS is putting the Dem gains between +8 and +15 which would keep the House in GOP hands by a safe margin.
I don't follow this nearly as close as LS but my gut feeling tells me the Republicans should not be losing ANY seats given the state of the economy and the fact that we have a president working harder for the American people than any other president in our lifetimes.
On top of that, the Republicans are leading the Democrats in early voting in just about every state (that is releasing figures) which is an astonishing fact. Usually the Democrats build up a big lead in EV.
I'll leave the predictions of number of seats lost/gained to the experts but my gut tells me the Republicans stand to have a very good night on Tuesday.
Unfortunately, OC went for Hillary in 2016.
The only barometer I have in favor of Republicans where I live in South County is that my Car hasn’t been Keyed yet.
The “TRUMP 45” Vanity License Plates I have on it do get plenty of attention though, with most people I talk to telling they wouldn’t have the guts to put anything Trump on their Cars.