Posted on 11/03/2018 3:01:52 PM PDT by Ravi
See comments if interested...
2018 ALL EARLY VOTERS
R: 2,791,130 (52.8%)
D: 2,024,672 (38.3%)
I: 475,222 (9.0%)
18-29 (10.64%)
30-39 (12.33%)
40-49 (15.27%)
50-64 (30.58%)
over 65(30.55%)
African-American (6.75%)
Caucasian (71.61%)
Hispanica (15.98%)
Asian (1.78%)
Compared to 2014, African-American share of the vote has dropped from 8.67% to 6.75%. The youth vote (18-29) has gone up from 5.58% to 10.64%. These two trends would tend to balance each other out. Plus within the youth vote itself, D's are 52.7% and R's are not an insignificant 34.0%. The youth increase comes from both parties for the most part. Outside of that, the main takeaway is the eye-popping overall HUGE R voter advantage. Everything else to me is secondary...
Thoughts?
ping
ping
Early voting is like 9-20% independents but all these dang polls are like 25R/33D/42I.
How can they be “final” ?
Do they stop counting early votes three days before election day?
Thanks. And compared to 2016?
Looks good for us.
This tells me conservatives had better figure out how to produce conservative youth, or we are screwed. There is no escaping it. This has to be the priority, and the Tea Party/GOP need to address this.
Very interesting data. In real rough numbers, the approx. 600K “youth votes” consist of 200K R and 400K D. Compare that with the 750K R vote advantage, and I would suspect that younger people are more inclined to vote early, so despite all the wailing and gnashing of teeth, it seems the Betomaniacs are having a pretty insignificant impact.
Early voting ended Friday.
This isn’t mail in.
Beto is screwed.
Assuming Indy’s are breaking Trump, R are leading by 1 million+
Very good news!
They don’t count any votes until election day. They might be in a computer somewhere but they are not released.
When the poles close in a state the first votes displayed are the early votes. Then everybody has to wait until the machines are brought in.
The only counting being done now is the totals.
One thing that has always bothered me about these polls is this: Ages 50-64 and 65 and over always make up the majority of the early voting. When we are gone the younger ones, most with skulls full of mush, will be making the decisions on which way this country goes. I pray for my kids ages 23-39, and their kids. Mine are all grounded in conservative values and the constitution. Their future may not be too bright.
If we are to believe in the effectiveness of the @WalkAway movement, some (hopefully many) of Dems are going to vote REP.
Reinforces why Obama and Oprah are trying to do rally’s, and the endless screams about made-up racism.
Blacks aren’t showing up, and we have plenty of anecdotal evidence that a sig percentage of those are voting R.
The Media will blame blacks if Dems lose. COUNT ON IT...
“This tells me conservatives had better figure out how to produce conservative youth”
They get older.
When the poles close in a state the first votes displayed are the early votes. Then everybody has to wait until the machines are brought in.
The only counting being done now is the totals.
Sorry, I'm not getting what you're saying. Maybe I'm slow, but it looks like you're saying they don't count votes but they do count "the totals." The distinction is lost on me.
Freedom is never more than one generation from extinction.
—Ronald Reagan
To be young and be conservative is to have no heart...
To be old and be liberal is to have no brain....
Most of those young liberals will wind up far more conservatice once they start working, paying taxes, raising kids etc.
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