I know it upsets people to go contrary, but here goes.
I attended a huge, swarming, wildly enthusiastic rally for Bush Sr. After which he lost the state and reelection. Crowds aren’t everything.
The problem with the House is the vulnerable seats are mostly in states where our state wide candidates are not expected to win, like PA & NJ.
If Trump can’t bring Senate candidates in those states to victory, no real reason to believe he is winning moderate House districts.
I certainly hope we add many Senate seats and handily hold the House. But we are preaching to the choir here, and outside the gate many are singing a different tune.
My humble analysis is, the Trump vote will turn out he’s energized his base. But maybe this time the Democrat base is energized as well (Hillary was a dud). So that spells a tossup with some reverses from 2016.
Senate +3
House -15 to 30.
The major problem with this guy’s “analysis” is that President Trump is not on the ballot.