Toss up = covering their ass.
I’m reading heavy polling in most places-—for a midterm, is that bad?
Toss up = covering their ass.
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Yes, how else would you interpret that?
It means either that it really is a perfect dead heat and he actually just switched it last minute (heh) or it means Manchin is probably down and he knows he will get called out for saying it ‘leaned democrat’.