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Surviving a Catastrophic Power Outage NAIC Executive Summary
The President's National Infrastructure Advisory Council (NIAC) ^ | December, 2018 | NIAC

Posted on 12/10/2018 6:53:37 PM PST by marktwain

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This is the executive summary of the 94 page report put out by the President's National Infrastructure Advisory Council. For those of you who want the nation to protect the electrical grid and to take action to insure that other vulnerable infrastructure can be protected and brought back on line as quickly as possible, with as little loss of life and resources as possible, here is the plan to harden and strengthen that infrastructure.

The plan discusses not only EMP potential strikes but a number of other ways in which the electrical grid could be taken down or severely degraded regionally or nationally.

1 posted on 12/10/2018 6:53:37 PM PST by marktwain
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To: marktwain

Not sure why they think this is a threat.

But the lights flickering tonight a lot. In fact right at the moment, the power here seems


2 posted on 12/10/2018 6:58:42 PM PST by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either satire or opinion. Or both.)
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To: marktwain

We had the local substation go out for a week.

Now I’m prepared to handle a week [or more] of local power outage.

Nationwide? We’re screwed.


3 posted on 12/10/2018 7:01:29 PM PST by Paladin2
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To: Paladin2

I can keep up to a 6 mo. local travel vehicle fuel tactical reserve. [ It’s now at ~7 weeks with no compound electrical generation usage included.)


4 posted on 12/10/2018 7:04:47 PM PST by Paladin2
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To: Paladin2
Nationwide? We’re screwed.

The vulnerabilities are being identified and hardened.

The report talks about the path forward.

Considering the stakes involved, it has been insane not to address this threat before.

In 1950, the threat did not really exist, because we were not so interdependent.

Now we are, and we need to harden the infrastructure.

The more we make ourselves a hard target, the less likely an attack will come, and the more likely we are to limit the damage of an attack or natural disaster.

5 posted on 12/10/2018 7:11:02 PM PST by marktwain (President Trump and his supporters are the Resistance. His opponents are the Reactionaries.)
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To: marktwain

I recall reading that all the transformers are now made in China.

What could possibly go wrong?


6 posted on 12/10/2018 7:22:29 PM PST by sevlex
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To: marktwain

We already have issues with grid instability due to alternative energy sources. Pipelines have gone to electrically driven pumps instead of the natural gas fired engines of the past. If the power goes out t,he power stations with combustion turbines may stop without pipeline pressure. I don’t think we can avoid a large number of casualties.


7 posted on 12/10/2018 7:22:34 PM PST by meatloaf
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To: marktwain; Darksheare

Darks and I were assured years ago that the power supply was “impossible to hack” after the 2003 northeast blackout.

Both of us have been laughing at that since.


8 posted on 12/10/2018 7:29:36 PM PST by null and void (We live in interesting times, but nobody's interested.)
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To: marktwain
The electrical grid is essential to modern life. Even ignoring the possibility of an EMP attack, sooner or later we're going to have to deal with another Carrington Event, so protecting the grid from unlikely yet catastrophic events is a true national security issue.
9 posted on 12/10/2018 7:38:15 PM PST by AustinBill (consequence is what makes our choices real)
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To: meatloaf
Pipelines have gone to electrically driven pumps instead of the natural gas fired engines of the past.

Exactly the sort of vulnerability this report moves to discover and address.

In another report, I read 95% of natural gas pipeline pumps are powered by natural gas. But the other 5% can be critical.

President Trump thinks bigly and outside the box. This is the sort of thing the national government is designed to do.

This is a national threat and needs to be addressed nationally.

10 posted on 12/10/2018 7:44:33 PM PST by marktwain (President Trump and his supporters are the Resistance. His opponents are the Reactionaries.)
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To: sevlex
I recall reading that all the transformers are now made in China.

Something like 90% are made overseas. There is a two year time frame to order and get one. A real vulnerability.

We need to harden the ones we have and make spares available.

We have done some work on that.

It is the big ones at the end of long transission lines that are most vulnerable and are hardest to replace.

11 posted on 12/10/2018 7:47:50 PM PST by marktwain (President Trump and his supporters are the Resistance. His opponents are the Reactionaries.)
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To: marktwain
The Westunghouse plant that built the large transformers was closed long ago. Last I heard transformers were still being built in Canada, Another issue is that transformers that large need a schnabel rail car for transport. That means railroads need fuel to operate. The cars aren't common.
12 posted on 12/10/2018 7:57:32 PM PST by meatloaf
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To: marktwain

13 posted on 12/10/2018 7:58:50 PM PST by LucyT
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To: LucyT
This article shows one of the transformers being moved by road.
14 posted on 12/10/2018 8:08:04 PM PST by marktwain (President Trump and his supporters are the Resistance. His opponents are the Reactionaries.)
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To: LucyT
Here is an article about the Recovery Transformer (RecX) program.

That program is designed to create modular transformers that can replace most long-line transformers and be more easily transported in several modules.

15 posted on 12/10/2018 8:11:10 PM PST by marktwain (President Trump and his supporters are the Resistance. His opponents are the Reactionaries.)
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To: AustinBill

Yup, more than one threat vector.


16 posted on 12/10/2018 8:38:21 PM PST by Secret Agent Man (Gone Galt; Not Averse to Going Bronson.)
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To: marktwain

When I saw the transformer in post #12, my first thought was why not go modular. And the nice thing about the Recovery Transformer program linked here is it is dated 5 years ago. Hopefully it is well along.


17 posted on 12/10/2018 8:51:05 PM PST by Cold Heart
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To: meatloaf

We already have issues with grid instability due to alternative energy sources. Pipelines have gone to electrically driven pumps instead of the natural gas fired engines of the past. If the power goes out t,he power stations with combustion turbines may stop without pipeline pressure. I don’t think we can avoid a large number of casualties.
___________________________________
Thanks for posting this...first I have read about grid instability due to alternative energy sources, but it makes sense...

Do you have any more information?


18 posted on 12/10/2018 8:54:21 PM PST by Freedom56v2 (#KATE'SWALL Build it Now)
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To: marktwain

This is one option the DS is considering to take out DT.


19 posted on 12/10/2018 9:04:56 PM PST by Terry Mross
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To: marktwain

Where we live the power goes out so frequently during the winter that everyone in the neighborhood has a generator. We run ours mostly on Natural Gas because it costs about a third of running it on propane or gasoline. When the power goes out it takes about 5 minutes to switch over to the generator. I check the oil before I start it and once a day while it is running.

We typically use about 24 kwh in a day, which translates theoretically into about a thousand watts continuous over 24 hours. But we use a 5000 watt generator to handle the starting loads of the furnace blower, refrigerators and freezers, and also high wattage items like the washer and motor on the natural gas dryer, microwaves, hair dryers, etc. The generator uses about eight therms of natural gas a day which costs us about $8 a day which is several times the approximately $2.50 a day electricity normally costs us.

If we switched to a slightly smaller generator it would save us some fuel expense. A generator performs far more efficiently when it is outputting close to its rated full load. But with the 5kw generator, despite using more fuel we basically do not have to do anything different to normal. The only thing we do not use is the electric oven.

If we lost natural gas and electricity, then we would have to rely on our fireplace and wood stoves to keep the house warm. For real SHTF scenarios I have propane and gasoline in reserve, but I also have a generator that is hooked to a stationary bicycle than can charge 12 volt batteries which can supply an inverter or USB adapters for phones, radios, computers, and other electronics. We also have a small 1000 watt generator that is far more fuel efficient for this purpose.


20 posted on 12/10/2018 9:26:08 PM PST by fireman15
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