Given the present state of the Canadian military, Canada might lose...
The logistics of getting there would be the biggest obstacle.
Past that, I’d give PI a decent chance. The Canadians are too polite and PC.
‘Given the present state of the Canadian military, Canada might lose...’
My first thought too, rig up a few guns on speed boats to make them into ‘technicals’ and pretty much any coastal city can be taken.
No problem holding territory there either, since what are the locals going to use to ‘resist’ with, Climate Change or something?
...and even if they found a few guns left over from WW2, then what would they be fighting for - ‘Canadian Values’ or something? No one even knows what that means.
Have the French Canadians surrendered yet?