SamAdams76 Monthly Trending of Twitter Follower Growth for 2020 Presidential Candidates - June 2019

https://twitter.com/KenCook_C/status/1123746543952113669 ^

[SamAdams76]

This is a monthly posting of Twitter follower growth for the past month for 2020 presidential candidates.

Last Month's Post Here.

This is unscientific but I have observed that Twitter growth in followers can be a strong indicator of candidate "popularity" and we certainly saw that in 2016, when it was Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders and the eventual winner Donald Trump who month after month saw the highest growth in followers. My 2016 tracking showed "front-runners" like Jeb Bush, Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio with comparatively slower Twitter follower growth months before they eventually dropped out of the race. So Twitter follower growth can certainly be a leading indicator of whether a candidacy is going flat or surging.

I am currently tracking 51 candidates - formally announced as well as any other notable individuals showing interest - up from 44 last month as people continue to pile into the race.

Only the Top 20 in follower growth (over the past month) make the cut for this posting, but there are another 31 candidates "bubbling under" and I will list those later in this thread.

I also added a column that shows percentage growth of followers. I don't personally like this metric because it skews in favor of candidates who have comparatively few followers (see Michael Bennet as an example here - who has ever heard of him?) and disfavors candidates who have already built millions of followers, who are just not going to be able to double their supporters in one month but show massive growth nonetheless. But many have requested it so I have it in here.

This was another very active month with a lot of candidates (mostly on the Democrat side) jockeying for position.

Will there be a "Donald Trump" emerging on the Democrat (or Independent side)? Right now we are not seeing it. For the third consecutive month, Pete Buttgieg is the Democrat with greatest number of new followers (112,201) but that is way down the 362,465 new followers he gained the month before. Contrast this to President Trump picking up nearly 800,000 new followers last month alone for a total of over 60,000,000. Nobody even comes close to Trump here.

"Groping Joe" Biden was looking strong last month but this month, he only picked up 31,185 new followers.

Beto O'Rourke's candidacy has pretty much cratered. For the second month in a row, Beto actually LOST followers, which is pretty much fatal in a presidential run.

Also letting you know that both Pocahontas Liz Warren and Bernie Sanders have adopted new Twitter handles for their presidential runs. I added those handles to my tracking and will incorporate them into next month's survey. For now, I am using their legacy handles.'

Here (below) are the Top 20 for June:

[SamAdams76]

[SamAdams76]

Here are the rest of the candidates I'm tracking (who missed the Top 20). This is in order of Twitter follower growth so the ones at the bottom (starting with Adam Koresh) actually lost followers

Seth Moulton
Marianne Williamson
Bill Weld
Tim Ryan
John "X-Rated" Hickenlooper
John Delaney
Wayne Messam
Howie Hawkins
Dario Hunter
Arvin Vohra
C L Gammon
Brian T Carroll
Vermin Supreme
Joe Schriner
Bernie Sanders
"Pocahantas" Liz Warren
Justin Amash
Alan Augustson
Sedinam Kinamo Christin Moyowasifza-Curry
Ian Schlakman
Joshua Perkins
Perry Caravello
Dan Rattiner
Adam Kokesh
Ronnie Kroell
Jesse Ventura
Howard Schultz
John Kasich
Beto O'Rourke
Bob Corker
Mark Cuban

[SamAdams76]

Pinging the Ping List

[SamAdams76]

Above I re-posted the May Standings by mistake! Here it is for June...

[bigbob]

Oh sure, black font ;-)

[mrsmith]

“51 candidates” good grief!

[be-baw]

I had to look up Gravel. The dude is 89!

Buttguy is definitely a contender. He’ll likely end up among the top three, and has an outside chance of getting the nomination. He’ll no doubt have fervent ground support.

The moron Booker is toast.

I thought Ryan had potential, because he’s portrayed as a moderate, but he needs to get some media attention if he wants to contend.

I think the top three contenders will be Buttguy, Biden and Harris. Warren will start to fade after California.

[DoodleBob]

"51 candidates” good grief!

Here is a picture of them:

[4Liberty]

[Zhang Fei]

How the heck did Williamson end up with so many Twitter followers?

[TaxPayer2000]

Thanks for the PING. Keep up the good work!

[RushIsMyTeddyBear]

My .02? Dems are cramming the field with radical leftists so the working class and blue collar (who aren’t on board with the pervs and also minorities) will flock to Biden. He will get elected and move further left in policy.

[catnipman]

Trump still has more twitter followers than all the rest of the Dem candidates put together ...

[zeebee]

Your demographic is very skewed towards a certain age group that likes to follow on Twitter. It is not representative of likely voters.
But it is still interesting. Thanks for all that work.

[SMGFan]

You list Vermin Supreme (whoa)

but Ben Gleib has 141K twitter followers and posts he is running. Yes real life “Idiotest “.

[outofsalt]

"Your demographic is very skewed towards a certain age group that likes to follow on Twitter. It is not representative of likely voters. But it is still interesting. Thanks for all that work."

I agree! This site has information on social media users across different platforms. This is their Twitter by the numbers page. Other platforms are on the sidebar.

[GOPJ]

Thanks ...