[bIlluminati]

the ChiComs view the Australia Outback as some sort of future Asiatic lebenstraum area

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Only if Sydney and Melbourne qualify as “outback”. China intends to control the shipping lanes as far out as the Philippines and New Zealand. And with their recent alliance with Russia, the U.S. has darned few allies with a significant military presence. Germany, France, and the U.K have sitting governments that are actively hostile to the current U.S. Trump administration. And, aside from France, the number two party is more hostile to the U.S. than the current ruling party.

[grumpygresh]

I doubt war would be confined to the Pacific; Iran would be enticed to heat things up with Russian help. The Russians could also exploit the situation in Europe and align more closely with Germany.

The Pentagon can’t fight a 2 front war and everyone knows it. It’s every man for himself don’t expect help from traditional allies.

I also think it’s naive to think that wars will be fought with big naval battle groups and armies at less at the onset. It’s more likely that we will see novel weapons and the use of proxy forces directed at civilians so that they there is plausible deniability.

These treaties were written in the 50s and 60s. The world and war are a lot different. Generals usually go to war with outdated strategy tactics and assumptions from the last war.