An analysis of the 2016 victory compared to the 2018 midterm loss, strongly suggests that it was the switch of white, educated, suburban female voters that made the difference.
There is very little upside left for us in the male vote but there is a huge potential in the capricious female vote. As 2018 evidently demonstrated, there is also huge downside potential in this vote.
Joe Biden has trouble filling and empty room but Elizabeth Warren demonstrates that she can bring a big crowd to Washington Square. Her downside, that she fraudulently misrepresented herself to game the system, is troubling but how troubling is it for suburban women, especially divorced suburban women, who are inclined to believe that the system is rigged and that a woman must do what she must do.
Elizabeth Warren loses empathy and speaks the female dialect. Relative to Biden I see her as a far greater threat.
Margins in the critical battleground states in 2016 were razor thin. The Democrats will not be asleep this time, we will not be running against Hillary Clinton this time. Unlike Hillary Clinton, Elizabeth Warren is not the most disliked woman in the country.
No one knows how this will turn out and any polling done is worthless both because it is too far out and because there is definitely a silent Trump voter which will be even larger in number than before.
I believe in the phrase, “we will get the government we deserve”. I know how I will vote and I’m sure you and most if not all here will vote the same. But if the true short sighted fools out there decide someone who speaks as Warren does and makes such completely ridiculous promises will be better for the country, then let it happen.
They will learn soon enough. Remember we got Trump because of Obama, not because of Hillary Clinton.
Maybe it’s time for another Operation Chaos. GOP swing state voters could cross over and temporarily register for the Rats in the primaries, then vote for the weakest Rat (Bernie, or Yang).