RE: I do not think Pres. Trump has the reelection in the bag as many think ala HC 2016.
You hit the nail right on the head.
Trump is popular WITH HIS BASE. That is all we can conclude from the huge attendance at his rallies ( Kentucky included).
The fact that Congress flipped to Democrat by a wide margin in 2018, despite warnings to the American electorate that voting Democrat would result in this impeachment brouhaha we are seeing today tells me that Trump is widely unpopular with Democrats *AND* a significant percentage of independents.
We cannot let our guard down or we will find a Democrat in the White House and a repeat of 2008.
Many voters want free stuff and probably misery.
No one is underestimating the Democrats, but lets not overestimate them either.