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(DEVELOPING) Resumed North Korean ICBM Testing: Possible Technical Objectives
38North ^ | 9 December 2019 | Vann H. Van Diepen

Posted on 12/11/2019 6:08:50 AM PST by AmericanInTokyo

On December 7, North Korea claimed to have conducted a “very important test” at its Sohae Satellite Launching Station that “will have an important impact on changing the strategic position of the DPRK.”[1] The North Koreans did not describe what was tested, but prior open-source imagery suggests it was a static (ground) test of a large liquid-propellant rocket engine.[2] It remains to be seen what rocket system the engine was associated with: a previously launched intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM), intermediate-range ballistic missile, space launch vehicle, or a new system. In any case, the static test could be the precursor to a full-up flight test of an ICBM or one of these other systems. If North Korea decides or has decided to resume full-up ICBM launches, its decision almost certainly will be governed primarily by political objectives rather than programmatic factors, and tests will be conducted within parameters Kim Jong Un sets. North Korea’s rocket force developers and operators presumably would do the best they could to maximize value to the ICBM research, development and deployment effort within these parameters.

This article considers the possible technical objectives that North Korea might pursue if ICBM launches are resumed, within the political parameters set by the regime. Its principal conclusions are that North Korea is most likely to seek to improve the reliability and operational effectiveness of the Hwasong-15/KN-22 with a single warhead (rather than multiple warheads), that improving accuracy is unlikely to be an objective for a near-term ICBM test campaign, that the DPRK may not demonstrate missile defense penetration aids in flight tests (either because it cannot properly evaluate such tests or in order to conceal its penetration aid [penaid] capabilities) and that a next round of ICBM testing is unlikely to feature new types of ICBM systems.

(Excerpt) Read more at 38north.org ...


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Front Page News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: appeasement; beautifulletters; betrayal; bromance; icbm; missiles; naive; nknukes; nkorea; nobelpeaceprize; northkorea; trumpasia; wasteoftime; wefellinlove
For discussion. Considerable increase in US military (USAF, USN etc) assets in and around the Korean Peninsula over the last 72 hours. (Open Source)
1 posted on 12/11/2019 6:08:50 AM PST by AmericanInTokyo
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To: AmericanInTokyo

Might be time to leave the problem to the South Koreans...


2 posted on 12/11/2019 6:14:51 AM PST by Eric in the Ozarks (Baseball players, gangsters and musicians are remembered. But journalists are forgotten.)
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To: AmericanInTokyo

Little Rocket Man’s launches could provide a good target for the U.S. to perfects its ability to shoot down ICBMs.


3 posted on 12/11/2019 6:22:16 AM PST by odawg
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To: Eric in the Ozarks
"Might be time to leave the problem to the South Koreans..."

That time may have come and gone - the "I" in ICBM stands for Intercontinental, of which we is one of them.

4 posted on 12/11/2019 6:41:23 AM PST by Psalm 73 ("You'll never hear surf music again".)
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To: AmericanInTokyo

It appears that the NORKS raided and old Ukrainian boneyard and got a limited number of rocket engines. This is why they made a great leap forward. But, they probably only have a handful.

Look for their homemade engines (with Iranian parts) to need a lot of testing.


5 posted on 12/11/2019 6:45:35 AM PST by MattMusson (Sometimes the wind blows too much)
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To: Psalm 73
the "I" in ICBM stands for Intercontinental, of which we is one of them.

Whats the 'C' then? lol.

There is no 'I' in 'TEAM AMERICA'


6 posted on 12/11/2019 6:46:37 AM PST by Magnum44 (My comprehensive terrorism plan: Hunt them down and kill them.)
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To: AmericanInTokyo

China’s economy is cracking under the weight of the Trump tariffs. This is China yanking NK’s chain.


7 posted on 12/11/2019 6:47:36 AM PST by Jeff Chandler (BLACK LIVES MAGA)
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To: AmericanInTokyo

Nothing would address the homeless problem and feces covered streets in San Francisco like a North Korean nuke.


8 posted on 12/11/2019 8:01:48 AM PST by The Great RJ ("Socialists are happy until they run out of other people's money." Margaret Thatcher)
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To: AmericanInTokyo
Stillllllll the plaything of China, I see.

"I'm crazy, gimme stuff..."

9 posted on 12/11/2019 8:02:40 AM PST by gaijin
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To: Eric in the Ozarks

We never should have gone there in the first place.


10 posted on 12/11/2019 9:18:40 AM PST by wastedyears (The left would kill every single one of us and our families if they knew they could get away with it)
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To: Eric in the Ozarks

I think the altitude is getting to you.

Or has making sure a missile doesn’t hit US become SK’s number one concern?


11 posted on 12/11/2019 9:37:21 AM PST by dp0622 (Radicals, racists Don't point fingers at me I'm a small town white boy Just tryin' to make ends meet)
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To: AmericanInTokyo
All. About. China.

Everytime Beijing feels the heat from Trump on trade, they unleash their puppet Kim. Trump should just come out and state that fact.

12 posted on 12/11/2019 9:42:19 AM PST by montag813
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To: AmericanInTokyo

Predicted several days ago when the president announced that there was no trade deal with the Chicoms, yet.


13 posted on 12/11/2019 10:38:47 AM PST by Blood of Tyrants (Everyone who favors socialism plans on the government taking other people's money, not theirs.)
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To: AmericanInTokyo

I hope the norks don’t nuke DC. Maybe they don’t understand how much the American people love DC and how demoralized we would be.


14 posted on 12/11/2019 2:03:05 PM PST by DesertRhino (Dog is man's best friend, and moslems hate dogs. Add that up. ....)
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To: DesertRhino
I hope the norks don’t nuke DC. Maybe they don’t understand how much the American people love DC and how demoralized we would be.


15 posted on 12/11/2019 2:05:26 PM PST by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: AmericanInTokyo

Some good answers and interesting thought here. But one of the prime reasons and causes being missed by posters so far.


16 posted on 12/11/2019 3:16:47 PM PST by AmericanInTokyo (“I’ll size him up within the first five minutes and will know if he’s sincere. That’s what I do.)
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