Posted on 03/03/2020 11:40:44 AM PST by RummyChick
These numbers include Mainland China and All Others globally
90,937 declared cases
03,117 declared deceased
48,054 declared recovered
51,171 declared resolved
39,766 remaining active cases
The mortality rate at this time was deceased / deceased + recovered = 6.09%.
That is a fluid number that is now dropping at the rate of about 0.25% per day.
Due to the rapid increase in cases outside China, and the short period they
have had to reach the recovery phase, this mortality rate is slowing in it's
retreat. It may reach a point soon where it will start climbing again.
On 03/02 93.29% of all new cases were being reported outside of Mainland
China. At the same time, the outside China active cases only cover 24.23% of
remaining active cases. For the short term, recoveries from Mainland China
will overshadow the fresh cases outside Mainland China, but this active outside
Mainland China slice of the pie is growing by 4.4% per day.
51,171 cases have been decleared resolved, and that represents 56.271% of all
declared cases to date. (resolved = deceased or recovered)
Active cases fell by 1,164 today (03/02). This number fluctuates each day. So
far it is still declining. There are now 39,766 active cases. That is 19,043
cases fewer than the highest count of active cases at 15:13 PST on 02/17/2020.
That figure was 58,809.
The number of people who recovered today (03/02), was 2,959.
The big days of China's delcared cases are now over two weeks past, but don't
forget that over 75% of all active cases, still remain in Mainland China. This
means that China's numbers will still dominate when it comes to recoveries that
offset the rapidly growning numbers outside China. When it becomes near 50/50,
we may see a large active case growth figure return globally. Then again we
may see a large recovery figure develop outside Mainland China that will supress
the potential for active cases to mushroom numerically. We'll see.
These numbers address the cases outside of Mailand China.
10,786 declared cases
00,173 declared deceased
00,792 declared recovered
00,965 declared resolved
09,821 remaining active cases
At this point only 11.86% of all declared cases exist outside Mainland China.
(eod: 03/02)
Here's what that figure was going back in two day increments. (End Of Day figures
02/29 08.23%
02/27 05.48%
02/25 03.63%
02/23 02.78%
02/21 01.77%
The current mortality rate of deceased / deceased + recovered is 18.60%. That
figure is grosely high, and should not be used for purposes of extrapolation
of what lies ahead. It takes serveral weeks for people to be infected, and recover.
That gives the deaths a head start. As in the large body of cases above, this
mortality rate will decline, and will pick up speed as the recovery rate outside
Mainland China reaches it's full potential. That will take another week or so.
There are now 9,821 active cases outside of Mainland China. The number of
active cases grew 1,514 cases today, and that was a rate of 18.43%. (eod 03/02)
There are now 78 nations declaring cases within their borders. 1+
Three nations of the 77 nations or entities outside of Mainland China
account for over 75% of all active cases outside China at this time.
4,812 44.61% South Korea
2,036 18.88% Italy
1,501 13.92% Iran
77.41% of all cases ourside of China...
These are clearly three break-out naitons. The next possible hot spots:
France
Germany
Netherlands
Norway
Spain
Switzerland
I did not include the United States in this list, but it is on my radar. It hasn't
doubled it's cases in short order, but it is showing steady growth. It does have
the potential to show up on the next list of who to watch.
(based not only on current numbers, but the velocity at which they are adding new
numbers. ex. A nation with few numbers, can grow them exponentially if they are
currently demonstrating significant percentage growth already.)
One other rather interesting thing I noticed over the last five days or so...
I noticed a lot of new nations swarming to report their first cases. Some of these
nations weren't what you'd expect to see experiencing a lot of international travel.
It almost looks like a concerted effort to involve as many nations as possible in
short order.
Last 120 hours:
01: Azerbaijan
02: Belarus
03: Lithwania
04: Netherlands
05: New Zealand
06: Nigeria
07: San Martine
Last 96 hours:
08: Ireland
09: Mexico
10: Monaco
Last 72 hours:
11: Ecuador
12: Luxumbourg
13: Qatar
Last 48 hours:
14: Armenia<
15: Czeck Republic
16: Dominican Prepublic
17: Iceland
18: Indonesia
Last 24 hours:
19: Andorra
20: Argentina
21: Jordan
22: Latvia
23: Morocco
24: Portugal
25: Saudi Arabia
26: Senegal
27: Ukraine
I would not be surprised if it comes out later that the death toll in China was over 20 million.
I understand China and Iran not caring about their people, but I’m surprised Italy isn’t asking for assistance.
Naaah, you get lungs "donated" by someone with a low social credit score..
Easy-peasy...
Maybe the Iranians should stop licking statues and drinking tea that’s been spit in. Italians could stop going to crowded concerts.
The story makes no sense at all. Much of the Chinese staff have gotten the virus and many died. It could be true that Iranian doctors are bad. But when you get to Europe I think the Chinese doctors would have a hard time competing.
Maybe he means cutting edge treatment like ancient Chinese Herbs that Westerners dont use.
Seems like he could have come up with something better than this laughable story if he is being paid by them to spout Chinese propaganda
While we're on the subject, where are you getting truthful numbers from China? On 2/3/20 the CCP has told doctors not to report cases, and son of a beach (to paraphrase bye bye brain Biden), the reported numbers started falling the very next day!
“...the reported numbers started falling the very next day!”
There ya go.
WHO is LYING!!
By not shutting down borders. WHO and CHINA are responsible for the virus spreading!!
.
What is the COVID-19 rate among virus sanitizers in Wuhan hospitals?
The Polit Bureau Magic Wand!
Works every time!
A person I know works with our government. They were briefed on this weeks ago on what to do when it gets here. The person giving the briefing said they estimate that China’s numbers are 7x worse than what they are saying.
Can’t comment on treatment, but I came across a photo online of some mass transit system in the US where it was being decontaminated by a mta worker with a pail and a mop wearing a mta hoodie. Did not appear to be sophisticated system.
I’ll look for the pic.
That’s reasonable. I would have used a higher number but then I don’t trust Commie China
Is the “WHO expert” Muslim, Chinese, or suddenly rich in Yen?
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