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Some Experts Say We May Be Overreacting to the Coronavirus Pandemic
PJ Media ^
| 03/20/2020
| Matt Margolis
Posted on 03/20/2020 8:58:16 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind
2
posted on
03/20/2020 8:59:08 AM PDT
by
Mathews
(Ecclesiastes 10:2 (NIV), Luke 22:36 (NIV))
To: SeekAndFind
EPSTEIN’s REASON FOR WHY WE OVERESTIMATE THE PANDEMIC’s THREAT:
First, they underestimate the rate of adaptive responses, which should slow down the replication rate.
Second, the models seem to assume that the vulnerability of infection for the older populationfrom 70 upwardgives some clue as to the rate of spread over the general population, when it does not.
Third, the models rest on a tacit but questionable assumption that the strength of the virus will remain constant throughout this period, when in fact its potency should be expected to decline over time, in part because of temperature increases.
3
posted on
03/20/2020 8:59:34 AM PDT
by
SeekAndFind
(look at Michigan, it will)
To: SeekAndFind
Overlooked is the good news coming out of China, where the latest report shows 16 new cases and 14 new deaths, suggesting that the number of deaths in the currently unresolved group will be lower than the 5.3 percent conversion rate in the cases resolved to date. In my view, we will see a similar decline in Italy, he says. 3 months of shutdown is causing the numbers in China...plus they haven't lifted that many restrictions as of yet.
4
posted on
03/20/2020 8:59:40 AM PDT
by
DouglasKC
To: SeekAndFind
I’m no ‘expert’ but I play one on FR, and I SAY WE ARE!.................
5
posted on
03/20/2020 9:00:25 AM PDT
by
Red Badger
(If people were to God like dogs are to people, the world would be a really great place..............)
To: SeekAndFind
6
posted on
03/20/2020 9:01:35 AM PDT
by
MotorCityBuck
( Keep the change, you filthy animal! ,)
To: SeekAndFind
The Chinese are lying like a rug. In the past few days are many reports of new cases in Wuhan being leaked to the outside world by citizens. Anyone who believes the Chinese numbers is a schmuck.
7
posted on
03/20/2020 9:01:44 AM PDT
by
dinodino
The expert is a law professor. His premise is absence of evidence = evidence of absense and anti-precautionary.
In risk *innocent until proven guilty* means “only put your seatbelt AFTER the accident”.
8
posted on
03/20/2020 9:01:51 AM PDT
by
proust
(Justice delayed is injustice.)
To: SeekAndFind
But “out of an abundance of caution” we’ll just tank the world economy, go into massive debt, and probably cause double the deaths through collateral causes like lost income, overloaded “essential” businesses running out of supplies, and who knows what other unforeseen effects.
But we’re cautious. Right.
And Gavin Newsom only does things out of the goodness of his black little heart.
9
posted on
03/20/2020 9:02:07 AM PDT
by
Regulator
To: SeekAndFind
I agree with the premise and sentiment of the article but "Overlooked is the good news coming out of China, " - China can not be believed about anything.
The Chinese government needs to be destroyed and China's people freed. Communism/Socialism is so evil...
10
posted on
03/20/2020 9:02:08 AM PDT
by
frogjerk
(We are conservatives. Not libertarians, not "fiscal conservatives", not moderates)
To: Mathews
Yep. That is my response, word for word. :D
11
posted on
03/20/2020 9:02:08 AM PDT
by
cuban leaf
(The political war playing out in every country now: Globalists vs Nationalists)
To: SeekAndFind
12
posted on
03/20/2020 9:02:19 AM PDT
by
trisham
(Zen is not easy. It takes effort to attain nothingness. And then what do you have? Bupkis.)
To: SeekAndFind
Richard A. Epstein didn’t kill himself.
13
posted on
03/20/2020 9:02:31 AM PDT
by
teeman8r
(Armageddon won't be pretty, but it's not like it's the end of the world)
To: Red Badger
I stayed in a Holiday Inn Express last night, rock-solid credentials. . . I say we are, too!!!!!!
To: SeekAndFind
When everyone analyses this, say 3 years from now, what will the consensus be?
15
posted on
03/20/2020 9:02:54 AM PDT
by
PGR88
To: SeekAndFind
16
posted on
03/20/2020 9:03:02 AM PDT
by
SkyDancer
( ~ Just Consider Me A Random Fact Generator ~ Eat Sleep Fly Repeat ~)
To: SeekAndFind
The good news is the result of drastic actions taken to bring a halt to the bad news. It’s cause and effect.
To: SeekAndFind
Captain Obvious has been promoted to Fleet Admiral Obvious.
18
posted on
03/20/2020 9:04:38 AM PDT
by
blackdog
(Making wine cave appearances upon request.)
To: SeekAndFind
Overreacting? Really? I hadn’t noticed.
19
posted on
03/20/2020 9:04:53 AM PDT
by
MayflowerMadam
("Worry does not empty tomorrow of its sorrow; it empties today of its strength" - Corrie ten Boom)
To: AndyJackson
This is the story of the little boy who rang a bell in the city center.
When asked why, he said to keep away the elephants.
When told there are no elephants, he said, “See? It works!”
20
posted on
03/20/2020 9:05:16 AM PDT
by
CodeToad
(Arm Up! They Have!)
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