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To: Kaslin
Herd immunity basically means that once a certain percentage of the population develops immunity to a virus, the rest of the population will also be protected.

That's an illogical statement on the face of it.

Not saying its not true, but evidence or reasoning for why the rest of the population will be protected has not been presented (in this sentence or in those which follow in the article--unless I missed it).

24 posted on 04/03/2020 6:02:50 AM PDT by RoosterRedux
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To: RoosterRedux
Herd immunity works simply because the R0 means it always dies out.

Eg: If a disease has an R0 of 2.0 (ie infects 2 people for each person that gets it), but 70% of the population is immune either because of vaccine or already has had the virus and has antibodies, the R0 is then reduced by 70% (2.0 * (1-.7) = 0.6). Since the R0 is then lower than 1, the virus dies off as the replacement rate is below the stock rate. Simple math.

30 posted on 04/03/2020 6:23:28 AM PDT by rb22982
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To: RoosterRedux

It has to do with the chain of transmission. If an infected person spreads the virus to two other people when there is no herd immunity then that rate is lowered as the herd gains immunity. What may have been transmission to two people now becomes transmission to one or less.

Maybe a more mathematically inclined person can explain it better.


36 posted on 04/03/2020 6:27:48 AM PDT by FreedomNotSafety
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