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To: dennisw

It amazes me that in just a matter of a few weeks we have gone from apparently a apocalyptic 2.5 million dead in the United States to just 60,000. While I understand it is a model to predict the number of deaths, hospitalizations etc. A model that me off by over 2 million and anyone who continues to pedal that that is an accurate way to run an operation or response to something is no longer trustworthy to me.

If the initial model had say predicted 120,000 deaths but had been revised down slightly due to the social distancing measures according to the experts I might be willing to believe them.


16 posted on 04/10/2020 12:44:52 AM PDT by matt04
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To: matt04
I might be willing to believe them.

NO,don't believe them. The deep staters think they have won. They've won the initial battle for starters, but the war is being fought for keeps.

And I think President Trump gets it.

18 posted on 04/10/2020 12:51:57 AM PDT by politicianslie (DEMOCRATS blocking Trump's Malaria drug combo from treatment is MURDER = Landslide in Nov!)
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To: matt04

This is Debbie Birx’ model
You know, the medical expert Trump chose to advise his team
You know, the Dr who worked developing an AIDs vaccine for the past 30 years
You know, the vaccine that still doesn’t exist....

Dont even get started on Redfield, the head of CDC, the other guy who stands behind Trump, reports now emerging that he was censured by the US Army in 1991 for....fraudulent AIDs vaccine studies. Yet somehow not only stayed in govt service but rose to head a CDC totally unprepared for a viral pandemic

His assistant during the fraudulent trials? Debbie Birx.


36 posted on 04/10/2020 3:41:31 AM PDT by silverleaf (Remember kids: You can vote your way into communism, but you have to shoot your way out!)
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To: matt04

I think it is a worst case model and did not take into factors such as the public Health measures that have been taken. Seeing there are excellent public health measures, of course the number of cases and deaths are going to go down.


87 posted on 04/10/2020 8:12:57 AM PDT by hawkaw
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