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We Are Approaching COVID-19 Gut-check Time
Townhall.com ^ | April 16, 2020 | Victor Davis Hanson

Posted on 04/16/2020 4:39:36 AM PDT by Kaslin

We are a few days away from a rendezvous with some tough conclusions about COVID-19.

A number of concurrent developments are coming to a head. Most will bring light where so far there was only heat.

Greater information about the virus might cause as much acrimony as conciliation. Some experts will be discredited, others reaffirmed.

Antibody testing is expected to get under way shortly. Soon, several representative studies will give the country an accurate idea of how many Americans have been infected in the past few months.

With a more trustworthy denominator to compare against known deaths, we will finally learn just how lethal the virus is and whether comparisons to a severe annual flu are legitimate or still inapplicable.

Likewise, there will be greater precision in distinguishing those whose deaths were exclusively virus-related from those who were afflicted by serious chronic illnesses along with the virus. That will also help provide better data about the actual toxicity of the virus.

Those with antibodies will likely be able to return to work with little risk. Arguments will arise over whether their status should be cataloged and banked, or whether such classification would institutionalize creepy two-tier categories of citizenship.

The prior pessimism of most epidemic models will either be confirmed or refuted, depending on the percentages of Americans who have already weathered the virus.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Editorial; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: banfearpers; coronavirus; jobsandeconomy
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1 posted on 04/16/2020 4:39:36 AM PDT by Kaslin
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To: Kaslin

Some people will die but the strong ones have better odds.


2 posted on 04/16/2020 4:42:43 AM PDT by Daniel Ramsey (Thank YOU President Trump, finally we can do what America does best, to be the best)
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To: Daniel Ramsey

Long-term or even lifetime effects are probable for many who recover from serious cases of Covid-19. For one example, 14-30% of recovered Covid-19 ICU patients have lost kidney function and now require dialysis. Also permanent lung damage etc.
This is not “just the flu.”

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4vtX0s-nHKo


3 posted on 04/16/2020 4:52:55 AM PDT by Travis McGee (EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com)
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To: Daniel Ramsey

Isn’t that how it’s always been since, oh I dunno, THE BEGINNING OF TIME?


4 posted on 04/16/2020 4:53:58 AM PDT by Maskot (Put every dem/lib in prison........like yesterday!!!)
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To: Daniel Ramsey

“And once all the weak are culled, then society will be better for it because only the strong will rule.”

That is the philosophy which created 20th century’s world wars and caused the death of untold millions and the imprisonments and slavery of even more.

Question: Now that we have a century of data in which to evaluate this philosophy, is the world “stronger?”

NOT


5 posted on 04/16/2020 5:14:09 AM PDT by Madam Theophilus (iI)
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To: Kaslin

It can be solved today if the deep state treasonists will release the vaccine they were given by the Chinese. Obama, Hillary, Pelosi, Nadler, Schumer, Brennan, Comey, Schiff, none of them have it, how curious.


6 posted on 04/16/2020 5:14:24 AM PDT by GrandJediMasterYoda (As long as Hillary Clinton remains free equal justice under the law will never exist in the USA)
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To: Kaslin

I predict Food and food distribution business will be re-opened on a priority basis


7 posted on 04/16/2020 5:21:44 AM PDT by Steven Tyler
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To: Kaslin
Those with antibodies will likely be able to return to work with little risk.

There are millions of Essentials already working that have never been tested.

8 posted on 04/16/2020 5:24:10 AM PDT by TaxPayer2000 (The United States shall guarantee to every state in this union a republican form of government...)
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To: Travis McGee

54 minutes to talk about data and never really gets to a point I just don’t have the patience nor do I have an hour to donate if somebody would just put the conclusions in like five bullets that would be nicer. No I’m not lazy I run my own business and I work about 20 hours a day so shut up


9 posted on 04/16/2020 5:28:03 AM PDT by CincyRichieRich (Be still, and know that I am God...Psalm 46:10)
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To: Kaslin

I’m really over this thing. Of course, I can be. I live in a rural area of Kentucky and, frankly, the death rate in my state is only 0.002%.

The only thing I’ve learned from this virus is this:
1. Stay out of New York and New Jersey (but I already knew that).
2. People that get a steady diet of CNN and MSNBC, et-al are quite gullible, and are living lives of constant fear and, oddly, hubris when discussing this sort of stuff.

I’m very much enjoying this within the confines of where I live. I mean, the overall death rate is actually LOWER, and more of those that are dying are old - and dying is what happens to you when you get older.

So I’m celebrating the reduction of deaths worldwide. We are living in great times. Of course, if any states drag this lockdown past April, there will be hell to pay, but I’m taking each day as it comes. Today and every day so far this year has been a great day!


10 posted on 04/16/2020 5:30:11 AM PDT by cuban leaf (The political war playing out in every country now: Globalists vs Nationalists)
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To: CincyRichieRich

“So shut up.”

Get out of bed on the wrong side? Anyway, Who asked you?


11 posted on 04/16/2020 5:31:50 AM PDT by Travis McGee (EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com)
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To: Travis McGee

the intubation might be actually causing what you are describing and might even be what’s killing so many.


12 posted on 04/16/2020 5:45:33 AM PDT by TexasFreeper2009
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To: cuban leaf

Same here. I just hope that they open both entrances at the Fort Campbell Commissary soon again so my son can get in and help me with shopping for groceries and other stuff I need.

Right now he can’t get in because he doesn’t have no ID other than his Drivers License. I am handy-capped and have trouble walking due to a degenerative disk disease, and degenerative hip joint that I have. I have stopped using those carts that they have for have for disabled persons, as they are a pain in the neck. I use instead those small carts that I can push very slow, though and get what I want.


13 posted on 04/16/2020 5:58:44 AM PDT by Kaslin
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To: cuban leaf

It’s a chinese virus. I compared the highest sick counties in PA and they correlate with high chinese populations.
county sick dead Rank pop percent pop county pop of county
Philadelphia 7347 132 1 2.20% Centre, PA / 153,990
Montgomery 2475 82 2 2.00% Philadelphia, PA / 1,526,006
Lehigh 1922 25 3 1.20% Montgomery, PA / 799,874
Delaware 1882 59 4 1.00% Delaware, PA / 558,979
Luzerne 1567 27 5 1.00% Chester, PA / 498,886


14 posted on 04/16/2020 6:16:16 AM PDT by kvanbrunt2 (spooks won on day 76)
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To: Travis McGee

I was out of line and immature and impatient. For that I am sorry. That said can you give me a tiny summary of the video as I don’t have time I had to choose between that one and the 54 minute one that the epoch times put together which was incredible.

https://youtu.be/Gdd7dtDaYmM

We are truly truly at War and I believe this is why President Trump has switched from orange hair to gray hair and serious mode. Again I am sorry.


15 posted on 04/16/2020 6:22:48 AM PDT by CincyRichieRich (Be still, and know that I am God...Psalm 46:10)
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To: Travis McGee
Re: 3

I need to purchase Martenson's book (and more of yours).

But he does have dated information in his presentation. At 44:05 of the video he notes:

"Persists on some surfaces for us to 9 days"

I’m not sure what study he is referring to but 9 days is mentioned here:

“Persistence of coronaviruses on inanimate surfaces and their inactivation with biocidal agents” but this study did not use SARS-CoV-2
- see https://www.journalofhospitalinfection.com/article/S0195-6701(20)30046-3/fulltext

More recent studies that use SARS-CoV-2 in their research do not support the virus persisting 9 days:

“Aerosol and surface stability of HCoV-19 (SARS-CoV-2) compared to SARS-CoV-1”
- see https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.09.20033217v2
and
- see https://www.nejm.org/doi/10.1056/NEJMc2004973

also

“Stability of SARS-CoV-2 in different environmental conditions”
-see https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666524720300033?via%3Dihub

He should update his information in regards to this specific point. A mention that the persistence of SARS-CoV-2 in this research was also in highly controlled conditions.

16 posted on 04/16/2020 6:24:56 AM PDT by Fury
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To: Travis McGee

You and your graphs are a fraud and have been proven so yet here you are still trying to gin up more fear. Go away people have seen through your act


17 posted on 04/16/2020 6:29:44 AM PDT by Mom MD
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To: Mom MD

They are not “my graphs,” they are the Financial Times graphs using officially recorded govt data. Naturally, nobody believes the ChiComs or Iranians, as the graphologist makes clear, but as he also makes clear, it’s not his job to insert himself as a filter or make estimated adjustments. But he has repeatedly said the Chinese and Iranian numbers are doubtful at best.

These graphs are just DATA, mom, DATA, get it?

Not projections, models, theories. Just officially recorded and submitted DATA.

Do you get the difference between DATA and MODELS?


18 posted on 04/16/2020 6:36:53 AM PDT by Travis McGee (EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com)
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To: Travis McGee

Thanks, Matt.

L


19 posted on 04/16/2020 6:38:46 AM PDT by Lurker (Peaceful coexistence with the Left is not possible. Stop pretending that it is.)
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To: Travis McGee

Do you get garbage in garbage out? Your exponential rants fell on their face. DATA is showing countries and states that did not lock down have the same curve as those that did. You are a reprehensible fear monger without the shame to admit you were wrong. Peddle you’re garbage somewhere else and take your petty insults and threats with you.


20 posted on 04/16/2020 6:39:34 AM PDT by Mom MD
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