COVID-19 Update - 05/02/2020

My own workup | 05/02/2020 | DoughtyOne

[DoughtyOne]

PING LIST - Please contact me as needed...

COVID-19 Update

As of 05/01/2020 23:45 PDST     Johns Hopkins University - Capture Nations Informaton
As of 00/00/2020 23:45 PDST     Johns Hopkins University - Capture Counties Informaton
As of 00/00/2020 23:46 PDST     Johns Hopkins University - Process JHU Data
As of 00/00/2020 23:59 PDST     WorldofMeters - Document Core Numbers
As of 00/00/2020 23:59 PDST     WorldofMeters - Capture Nations Informaton
As of 00/00/2020 23:59 PDST     WorldofMeters - Capture States Informaton
As of 00/00/2020 00:00 PDST     WorldofMeters - Data Processing begins...
As of 00/00/2020 ??:?? PDST     Publish COVID-19 Update - 00/00/00

Thank you for stopping by to check out the COVID-19 Update.

Here you can find...

Section: 01     Commentary, Special Reports, COVID-19 Update Info, & System Notes
Section: 02     the United States Situation
Section: 03     the Global Community Situation Outside China
Section: 04     the Global Community Situation Including China with reservations
Section: 05     the Mortality Report
Section: 06     Miscelanious Reports of Interest
Section: 07     the United States, Counties (alphabetical / case no descending)
Section: 08     the United States, States Ranked with the Other States Territories at Bottom
Section: 09     the United States, Ranked with Other Nations
Section: 10     the End of this COVID-19 Update
Section: 11     Data Sources and a Link to My Own Spreadsheet
Section: 12     Link to Spreadsheet: Our Counties, States, Territories, & Other Nations
Section: 13     Links to Other Resources

Section: 01

Commentary, Special Reports, and COVID-19 Update Information¹
Interesting Tid-bits (hopefully)

Links to Other Sources of Information

There are some new links down at the bottom of the report. Those that
link to articles on Free Republic, I would urge you to peek at the
comments below. Some of the comments on the Vitam D thread there are
helpful. They add further information.

Section: 02

The Following Addresses the Numbers Here in
the United States of America

Here we go...

Well, here's the report for Friday. It was a bigger day, as is usual,
but the numbers still came in less than last Friday. When we get there,
we'll see that our fatalities actually went down yesterday. Not bad,
all in all.

Fatalities, Recoveries, Resolved, Active Cases, and
Serious/Critical Cases in the United States
Concept of adding in Active Cases and Serious Crital here, courtesy of amorphous

Here's more of our numbers...

Again, the fatalities fell off yesterday. We'll quantify the drop
down in the Mortality Report section.

Our Slice of the COVID-19 Pie

The growth of our Slice of the Pie has been slowing. On the 16th it actaully
went netative for one report row on my spread-sheet. Luckily it was the EOD
figure so you could see it.

Here are the numbers I've been tracking, Globale Declared and Active Cases.

These grew at a higher rate yesterday. Growing, always growing...

Section: 03

The Following Addresses the Global Numbers
without Mainland China

Here is the first chart for the Global Outside China Territories

Well, 93k isn't a great number, but it is down more than 13k from the
previous Friday. I'll take that gladly. Could have been 13k higher,
not lower.

Fatalities, Recoveries, Resolved, Active Cases, and
Serious/Critical Cases - Globally, Excluding M/L China
Concept of adding in Active Cases and Serious Crital here, courtesy of amorphous

Here we go...

Even at 5,400 fatalities, it is a little better than the Friday before, when we had a little less than 1,000 more.

How is the Global Community Outside China Doing,
Without U. S. numbers?

Well, not too good yesterday...

Still edging up, and I'm not happy about that. This is still 10k
less than the last Friday. We seem to be trending toward the
down side, but it's still not the kind of drop we are all hoping
for.

Yes, we had the same cyclical increase this week like the previous
two. Still, look at those green stacks. Yesterdays was noticably
shorter than the two peaks before it. (on the first one, we had
peaked on a Thursday.

For your review...

Special Section on France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and the U. K.
Case growth.

Lets Look at Some Numbers in Five Day Increments:

The same comments fit for about each day here.

Germany has been able to keep their deaths down. Nice job...

Both France and Germany have somehow altered thier trajectory
to a better outcome. As the indications seemed to predict, the
U. K. did pass France and Germany by. I don't like to see any of
them shooting up.

Sweden and It's Neighbors, Who Has the Best Tactic Againt COVID-19?

Sweeden is doing their own thing with regard to isolating. I think most people
are aware of it by now.

Here are some numbers to help us look at this issue.

As a good adendum to these figures, I invite folks to check out the
international comparisons, with regard to Deaths Per Million. As with
any metrics here, these are not the total answer to anything. This
is simply more information to consider.

Again today, Sweden looks good compared to larger nations in Europe.
Their neighbors have kept their cases and fatalities down by comparison.

Sweden still looks very competitive against France, Italy, Spain, and
the U. K. Now I don't have a problem with comparing Sweden with the
other Nordic countries, where it doesn't come off well. It still holds
it's own against other top rank nations that have locked down. I'm
not rabidly pro or con when it comes to what Sweden is doing, but I do
find myself defending it more than I really want to, based on what I
see as pointed criticism that isn't exactly reasoned > IMO.

Finland is still looking good.

One more thing about Sweden here. However Sweden ultimately turns out,
I think it is the canary in the coal mine. We all have wondered what
would have happened if we had gone their route. I'm glad to see at
least one nation giving it a go, to satisfy what I believe to the
curiosity of many of us.

Section: 04

The Following Addresses the Global Numbers
including Mainland China*

Mainland China's numbers are 0.03% of today's total global numbers.

A Look at Declared, Resolved, and Active Cases, Includes M/L China

End of day figures follow:

That recovery percentage continues to climb. It looks like we're headed to
40% and above in the next few days.

Fatalities, Recoveries, Resolved, Active, and Serious/Crical
Cases Globally, Including M/L China
Concept of adding in Active Cases and Serious Crital here, courtesy of amorphous

Not much to say here. Big numbers getting bigger...!

Section: 05

the Mortality Report

Making an effort to provide more mortality numbers these days.

Hopefully these upcoming numbers and charts will help with that.

Our numbers are big enough that they can hide the finer nuances of the
Global numbers outside China. For that reason, I strip our numbers off
that group and report them separately for this area of study.

Here are the figures for the growing case totals for four entities.

Here's the chart to go along with those figures.

Looks pretty ominious there doesn't it.

Here are figures revealing the daily growth for those four entities.

Our numbers are looking good here. We've been dropping for four days.
On the Global scene, the numbers are looking better also. If we go back
ten days, we both were in a much worse place. There has been some
gradual improvement.

Here's two charts to go with the above data.

Each entity is showing progress there over the long haul.

Here, lets look at data for the U. S. broken out by itself.

Well, I guess we should be thankful these numbers. We've seen a 3-4%
drop each day over the last few days.

While we seem to be repeating a pathway here, it is good to see us
moving lower in recent days.

Section: 06

Population Saturation

Here are figures revealing how many people in each population base represent one case.
I'm also showing what percent of each population base is infected at this time.

This area looked quite a bit better a few days ago. Back to
normal here. Ug...

Nations With Lots of Cases

At the end of the day yesterday, there were:

That's a whole lot of nations there. With over 1,000 in each one, we know
that over time they are potential declared cases time-bombs.

Daily Case Report Evaluation

I'll be keeping tabs on the daily tallies for days of the week for a while. Folks have
noticed some patterns of larger and smaller data entry on certaind days, and on Fridays
sometimes the numbers get noticably larger because of it.

And we now know Thurdays have potential to break out also. Yikes!

Let's check out the numbers and a chart.

Yesterday, Friday, came in the lowest of the top four Fridays. I keep
being compelled to state that things could be worse. They could be.
We're not seeing excellerating growth. The numbers are larger than we
want them to be, but we're not growing 10k per week. We're slipping
downward.

Section: 07

The Top 200 Counties in the U. S., by Number of Cases

This little report lists 200 Counties in the United States in declining Case numbers.
There is also a listing that is alphabetical. This report list only the entities
and the number of Cases in the two different sorts.

It will also be available as a downloadable Excel file in Section 12.

Section: 08

States of the Union and the District of Columbia, Compared to Each Other

Each of these pages is sorted differently. Look at the red header above
the columns to see which column was used for the sort on any given page.

For your review...

For your review...

For your review...

For your review...

For your review...

For your review...

For your review...

For your review...

Some interesting figures there for various segments.

Section: 09

The United States, Where it Ranks With Other Natons?

Each of these pages is sorted differently. Look at the red header above
the columns to see which column was used for the sort on any given page.

The U. S. will be highlighted red here so we can find it easily in the list.
There were 212 nations on this list last night now. I didn't want to post
seven lists with 212 nations on it, so I picked the top 50. Coincidentally,
one report category has the U. S. at 41st, so it wasn't showing up on the
list with 31 top spots on it. That wasn't the reason why I extended the
list length, but it did work out well.

I work on the nations right next to the states on my spreadsheet. The
states with the Disctrict of Columbia come in at a total of 51 lines.
I decided to keep the international reports near that length, and 50
was good enough.

Here we go... for your review.

For your review...

For your review...

For your review...

For your review...

For your review...

For your review...

We're very close to the 6.7 million tests administered level, but we just
can't seem to move up from the low 41st - 43rd position range. Drat!

Section: 10

Here's what it's all about. From January 20th to the present.

This concludes our look back at yesterday's data. Take care...

Courtesy of: foldspace

Section: 11

Data for this Report Sourced From:

LINK   Johns Hopkins University
               The Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE)

LINK   WorldoMeters

LINK   You are Invited to Review My COVID-19 Spreadsheet (XLSX)
               There is not an XLS version available for distribution at this time.

Section: 12

Other Features:

LINK   US Counties²⁰⁰, States & DC⁵¹, Territories & Other Entities¹¹, and Nations²¹⁴
                Four Excel Spreadsheet datasets you can sort for your own studies...

Section: 13

Links to other resources:
I cannot vouch for these sites. Please use your own discression.

LINK   Adventist Health Coronavirus Resource Hub - Scroll down for useful info

LINK   Antibiotic Vitamin, the (Vitamin D)
               Good article on Vitamin D's likely role in prevention of infection. Thanks Blam.

LINK   CDC Data for Download - Scroll down - Excel required. Includes death stats.

LINK   CDC Secondary Data and Statistics - Portal Entry / Look around

LINK   Coronavirus (COVID-19) Map

LINK   Coronavirus infection risk may be reduced by Vitamin D
               by Former CDC Chief Dr. Tom Frieden

LINK   COVID-19 First U.S. Case, Treatment, features Remdesivir
               New England Journal of Medicine article

LINK   Cytokine Storm, med Actemra, Physician near death saved

LINK   Diamond Princess Review at 634 Case Point of Eventual 712

LINK   Hydroxychloroquine Article: International Poll
               Daily Mail Reports, Most Effective Treatment According to 6,000 Physicians

LINK   Hydroxychloroquine Has about 90 Percent Chance of Helping COVID-19 Patients
               the Association of American Physicians and Surgeons, reports 91.6% of patients improved clinically

LINK   IHME - Institute for Health Matrix and Evaluation

LINK   National Institutes of Health - Cornavirus (COVID-19)

LINK   Nazal Irrigation is the Key, COVID-19 Related

LINK   New York City - interesting breakdown, burough, age, sex

LINK   On the Origin of CCP Virus, A Documentary Movie (turn up the sound)
               Epoch Times: I highly recommend this very well documented report.

LINK   R_t COVID-19
               Calculates and displays the R_t Factor for each state. Thanks FreedomPoster.

LINK   World Health Organization

[DoughtyOne]

                       

[wastoute]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gzx8LH4Fjic

Here’s the next installment. # 65 more on Oxidative Stress and endothelial cell dysfunction. Ties in directly to atherogenesis. I would imagine he will be taking this in future episodes into what is known about how atheromas form and endothelial cell dysfunction is the “first step” in forming atheromatous plaques. How this is relevant to CV will be exposure of the endothelial cells basement membrane and platelet activation initiating clot adherence and then micro emboli. Emboli that are smaller than a red cell, less than 7 microns.

[TECTopcat]

“CDC put out instructions to hospitals to count any death as COVID if that virus was SUSPECTED as the cause of death” see source below

I suppose this is to be expected when govt $s are funneled but there are increasing reports that the numbers are being inflated to get more $s and to justify the shut down. I know first hand of one case where someone said they were not feeling well and the doctor said he didn’t’ think it sound like Covid 19 but he would report it as Covid 19 anyway,stay home and if it gets worse call him. It explains why a week ago NY suddenly reported several thousand more cases that they had “missed” More Covid=more$

Bert Dohmen said in his Wellington investment letter last night. Everything is being blamed on the virus. But it was the unfounded extreme and hysterical action of city and state politicians that caused the damage, not the virus. The data show that COVID causes fewer deaths than the flu. Just saw the numbers for Kentucky this week: Flu deaths this year are about 10 times greater than COVID deaths. In Europe, the difference is not quite that great. In the U.S., the inept and conflicted CDC put out instructions to hospitals to count any death as COVID if that virus was SUSPECTED as the cause of death. What kind of science is that?

[Celtic Conservative]

My old alma mater, the Michigan Department Of Corrections (working, not residential) has 1560 cases. Enough so, that if it were to be treated as a county would be the 108th worse in the US. Retirement came at the right time for me.

CC

[Presbyterian Reporter]

On Wednesday April 1 I began tracking the number of ‘serious, critical’ cases being reported in the USA.

These are the people who may likely die in the next few days.

If the ‘serious, critical’ number goes up, we will likely see more deaths. On the other hand if the various drugs being tested are effective in treating the virus, the ‘serious, critical’ number should go down.

Here are the numbers:

Apr 20 Mon 13951
Apr 21 Tue 14016
Apr 22 Wed 14016
Apr 23 Thu 14997
Apr 24 Fri 15097
Apr 25 Sat 15110
Apr 26 Sun 15143
Apr 27 Mon 14186
Apr 28 Tue 15298
Apr 29 Wed 18671
Apr 30 Thu 15226
May 1 Fri 16481

This week the critical/serious numbers have bounced up and down. It seems the sharp increase on Wednesday was an error in worldometer’s algorithm.

I looked at the worldometer website to see how they collect the serious/critical data “ it represents for the most part the number of patients currently being treated in Intensive Care Unit (ICU), if and when this figure is reported.”

What we need to see is a slowdown in the number of people who are serious/critical and a slowdown in the number of people dying. April came in with 59,000 deaths. April 1st seems so long ago when there was a cumulative total of 5,100 deaths in the USA that day.
.
I also truncated the data to keep this posting shorter. Earlier numbers are available in DoughtyOne’s tables.

[Flick Lives]

In the U.S., the inept and conflicted CDC put out instructions to hospitals to count any death as COVID if that virus was SUSPECTED as the cause of death. What kind of science is that?

It's $cience!

[wastoute]

Dude. This took me three minutes to find. Don’t fall for everything you see just because it fits your narrative.

Dr. Armstrong reminded the reporter that hydroxychloroquine is not a cure for COVID-19. He said in his experience, though, it does reduce the severity of the symptoms.

[wastoute]

If you read carefully you will discover Dr Armstrong never claimed he “saved lives” that was reporters implying he said that it seems to me. What he actually said was he treated 55 people who “tested positive” for 5 days with one death. He demonstrated with EKGs you could do so without significant cardiac toxicity in those 55 patients. “...concluded on Wednesday ...” is a clue. To make a claim of “saved lives” would take longer then “Wednesday.”

Still he deserves credit. He’s taking care of a large number of people at risk and doing so successfully. But note the Dr never claims to have “saved lives”.

[DoughtyOne]

I agree with your thoughts there.

It gets difficult to discuss this issue as much subterfuge
as is going on.

[DoughtyOne]

Good for you, and sorry to hear about the facility being hit so hard.

[DoughtyOne]

Dude, it’s keeping people alive.

That’s all I care about. 91.6% in that one report.

[wastoute]

https://www.mediamatters.org/coronavirus-covid-19/jim-hoft-tells-alex-jones-coronavirus-us-deep-state-trying-take-out-trump

This is the “Jim Hoft” you are referencing? Please. Dr Armstrong himself did not make the claim you are attributing to him. What he accomplished is he gave 55 people a drug for 5 days. Critical thinking is required.

[DoughtyOne]

Can you point me to where I stated that Dr. Armstrong said
or did anything?

[wastoute]

Sorry. Forgive me. I momentarily forgot where I was.

[Presbyterian Reporter]

The CDC updated their website on the number of covid testing on May 1 for the week ending April 25.

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/covid-data/covidview/index.html

701,913 people tested during the week April 19 to April 25.

3,906,678 cumulative total people tested to date as of April 25.

Some observations on the CDC numbers.

1. Worldometer reported 5,300,000 cumulative testings as of April 25. Why is CDC underreporting 1,400,000 testings?

2. Worldometer is reporting more than 200,000 tests per day, but the CDC only reported 100,000 tests per day during the week April 19 to April 25. Why?

Here are some of the reasons why the CDC numbers are so much lower:

1. CDC is only collecting the testing data from FIVE commercial labs.

2. CDC is only collecting the testing data from 80 Public Health labs.

3. CDC is only collecting the testing data from 60 Clinical labs.

We probably have well over 1,000 commercial, public health, and clinical labs in the USA who are doing covid testing and the overpaid and underperforming bureaucrats at CDC are only capable of collecting data from a paltry 145 of those labs.

In the meantime our President has to rely upon worldometer and its algorithms for current data on what is happening in the USA.

[DoughtyOne]

No problem. Were you discussing him on another thread?

[DoughtyOne]

The CDC seems to be lost in space. It angers me.

We had a month watching China melt down, and our CDC didn’t
life a finger to get test kids ready.

That’s my down and dirty on it.

[DoughtyOne]

Did you notice those Serious/Critical cases drop again, for
one day?

They’re back today. Strange...

[USS Alaska]

When the ghouls first started touting this pandemic to end all pandemic the death rate was said to be 2-4%. It is no where near that rate.