Let’s see. We are averaging 30,000 new cases per day with 2,000 deaths. We will get over 100,000 dead by Memorial Day. Then possibly 250,000 by Labor Day if it continues to plateau.
320 million americans, we will be fine.
Your numbers are as good as what my dog predicts.
You can always hope.
Say!...let us know when you go.
We'll drop by your plot for a word.
Looking at the NYC bell curve:
https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data.page
...it took about 7 weeks to ramp up and go down. It’s almost at zero now.
The problem using national stats is that we have different areas going through different dates for their bell curve. One area gets over the hump but gets ‘averaged out’ by another still ramping up, giving the impression that we’ll have a sustained rate.
Even looking at the national level, you can see we’ve hit the peak...so we have the ‘other half’ of the bell curve to go. A simple guess is to just double the death count from where you think the top was. For me it puts it at about 90K. I believe we’ll see numbers plummet over the next couple of weeks....no way we’re sustaining 30+K new cases and 2K deaths per day.
You can always hope.
Say!...let us know when you go.
We'll drop by your plot for a word.
You are wrong
This is a winter virus. It’ll be gone by mid May. I have said so from the start. You might get some additional cases and deaths until June one. Then nothing
Will it come back in the fall??? Who knows??? SARS waited ten years before returning
So then stay home and let the rest of us live life. Fearing death isn’t living