You didn’t read my post after about the first line or two. If you’d like to read what I wrote and discuss it, that’s fine. I clearly covered which population we’re measuring and covered potential timelines based on variations in behavior. Also, they aren’t “my numbers”. They’re the Census Bureau’s, the CDC’s, and Johns Hopkins. I just took their numbers and plugged them in because I can do basic multiplication (or at least, my calculator can).
Worth noting we’re just over 3 months in to real activity with this (we hit 50 deaths on March 10th) and we’re already well over 3 years worth of seasonal flu deaths in the US (37,000 annual on average vs 118,000). And no, it isn’t over now. There’s about 740 deaths per day on average currently from it. We’ll be at 130,000 by July 4th, 150,000 by August 5th, and 200,000 by October 1st. An estimated 34,000 died in the US during the entire 2018-2019 flu season.
Yes, I did. I read the whole post before responding.