In 2014, I said early on that Larry Hogan was going to beat Anthony Brown in the Maryland governor’s race, even though pretty much every poll showed Brown ahead. I was watching the trend line (the movement.) It was consistently moving in Hogan’s direction.
I noticed the same thing in 2016 with Trump, and I’m seeing a similar thing now.
“I noticed the same thing in 2016 with Trump, and I’m seeing a similar thing now.”
Same here.
The movement of Independents towards Trump in late summer 2016 was also a telltale sign.
Trump almost peaked too early in 2016. He was very lucky that he won. I think biden’s already peaked this year.