Posted on 11/02/2020 7:58:46 PM PST by JamesP81
Luckily, I am a guy who has voted in every election since I turned 18.
Trump is surging bigtime.
Baris reports honestly what people tell him. He does not attempt to forecast. He strongly suspects based on a number of factors that some of the people he asks are lying and instead of voting for Biden are actually voting for Trump.
BUT as he has emphasized over and over again, he is only reporting what he was actually told.
In other words, the Trump vote is certainly higher than what he is reporting as he himself says.
Baris will be embarrassed when Trump sweeps all the “battleground” states.
“MI and WI are OLD polls (10/24-10/28). Haven’t been updated since last Wednesday.”
I did notice those were older than PA. Wondering if Baris was planning to update those, but I’d guess there’s no time left for that.
There are three recent polls with Trump ahead in PA. And I will stick with Trafalgar’s Trump leads in WI and Michigan. Especially Michigan.
No doubt, most reasonable people know biden isn’t winning , that being said the house may be a stretch
“Baris reports honestly what people tell him. He does not attempt to forecast. He strongly suspects based on a number of factors that some of the people he asks are lying and instead of voting for Biden are actually voting for Trump.
BUT as he has emphasized over and over again, he is only reporting what he was actually told.
In other words, the Trump vote is certainly higher than what he is reporting as he himself says.”
In other words, it’s like I said earlier. He acknowledges likely ‘shy Trump’ voters and people misleading pollsters on purpose, but he doesn’t try to gauge those numbers or include them in his results.
It is not the pollsters fault if Democrats decide not to show up tomorrow because they are afraid of coronavirus..
But—it is his fault that he was not smart enough to ask the question...
Not that most people would have told him the truth...
I’ve felt all along we may have to wait until 2022 to get the House back.
JEEZE these are early mail in votes republicans will be voting ON Election Day!!!
The pollsters are all over the place so don’t let yourselves get paralysis from over analysis over these differing poll numbers. Biden hasn’t done a damn thing to deserve a high standing in the polls. I truly believe there are enough common sense thinking Americans who will make the difference and not let this clown into the White House.
Women and soy boys who want money from the government.
But there’s plenty of people who are not like that.
James WILL win. His and Trump’s campaigns will reinforce each other.
I bet those 2 and 3 percent undecided really are Trump voters but didn’t want to say just a hunch
I bet those 2 and 3 percent undecided really are Trump voters but didn’t want to say just a hunch
Ronna McDaniel
@GOPChairwoman
·
1m
More data suggests a huge surge in Election Day votes for
@realDonaldTrump
18,263 signups for Grand Rapids
73.8% (!) have still not voted
46.9% (!) NOT Republican
36.3% did not vote in 2016
To the MILLIONS of rally goers this cycle: THANK YOU!!
https://twitter.com/GOPChairwoman/status/1323476994982612992
On their “what are the odds?” Show on the People’s Pundit today, Robert Barnes projected Trump to win all 4 states in the Upper Midwest.
Baris didn’t disagree though he said Minnesota would be really close.
Baris thinks John James will win in Michigan but Lewis is probably not going to win in Minnesota.
Why would MI (autos) go for dems that want to kill the industry
I think that is generally true but Trump resonates. I was limited to ABC radio in the 2018 elections and the lead was their exit polling showed the highest percentage of women voting in history. Right there, I knew it was going to be a tough night.
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