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And just how would you know, one way or another?

Democrats are not going to let any crisis go to waste. And they're going to take advantage of their majorities in the senate and house and the presidency, to pass all kinds of legislation and executive orders, WHILE THEY CAN. While they can includes having Sinema and Manchin follow the marching orders from their superiors and their party. They're not going to take a chance at losing their opportunities to get their agenda passed and implemented. It's how they got Obamacare and this is Obama-Biden/democrat-congress ON STEROIDS. We're all screwed, and Sinema and Manchin will be good soldiers for their party.

Democrats have had rebels and turncoats since there was a Democratic Party. Just a few days ago, some Dem congress person in one of the states switched and became Republican.
In a deep deep red state like West Virginia, no other Dem apart from Manchin can win the US Senate seat right now. Manchin will be tying a rope around his neck if he kow tows to the crazy Dem far left.