Who is going to invade Belarus? Demented Joe?
Lukashenko has a difficult balancing act. He wants to limit contact with the west as ideas like freedom and democracy would lead to his overthrow.
He relies instead on Russia, but Putin would like to gobble up Belarus. If Lukashenko isn’t careful he will lose his fiefdom that way.
Kyiv is not far from the border of Belarus AND Belarus flanks the entire northern border of Ukraine. Moldavia is Russian friendly and with the act Sea to the south....they could close from 3 directions. 4 if they use a pincher move.
When the Russian Bear moves it, it almost never moves out!