Posted on 12/08/2021 2:21:06 AM PST by Kaslin
Monday morning, as I did my morning bicycle ride (I live in a safe neighborhood), I listened to Breitbart News host Alex Marlowe interview John Nolte, another Breitbart personality about COVID vaccination hesitancy. By the end of the interview, they’d wandered through several logical fallacies that need to be exposed so people can accurately balance vaccines versus treatments.
Marlowe and Nolte quoted data purporting to show that Washington state counties that Trump won have much higher COVID death rates than counties that Biden won. Vaccination rates are blamed for the difference. Marlowe went on to declare that it’s been proven that Ivermectin is a “dewormer” and should be removed from the conversation. These factoids are so illogical for a so-called conservative outlet that we must have a short refresher.
Figures Don’t Lie, but Liars Can Figure
The key offender here is something called “relative risk.” If there’s a one in a million chance of something happening, that’s a minuscule absolute risk. If it goes up to two in a million, it’s still a minuscule absolute risk that you really won’t get bothered about. But that same difference can be presented as a 100% increase in risk or a doubling, which sounds really awful.
When it comes to COVID, the overall rate of death is in the tenths of a percent in the most vulnerable population. Headlines about Republicans killing off their voter base are simply scaremongering in the decimal points using relative instead of absolute risk. The real rate of death under age 50 for COVID is “indistinguishable from zero” according to the weekly British monitoring servic.
Figures Don’t Lie, but Liars Can Figure (Part 2)
Let’s suppose that David Leonhardt is presenting accurate data from Washington State and that red counties are seeing excess deaths.
(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...
Chalk it up to fake news.
Too bad about Marlowe. Another one of the young supposed-conservatives to get washed out by the Cocktail culture, or to be unable to hide his true colors very long.
“These factoids are so illogical for a so-called conservative outlet...”
Yeah, I listened to Travis and Sexton’s wuhan rant yesterday until I had to turn it off. They were making some ridiculous assertions, imho.
China through 23 months — ( 4,849 deaths since beginning of pandemic / 1,439,323,776 Chinese citizens ) x 100 = 0.0033 %
0.0033 %
Global Deaths through 23 months — ( 5,105,270 / 7,906,949,863 ) x 100 = 0.0645 %
0.0645 %
Source: Johns Hopkins University Coronavirus Resource
The assertion that this “pandemic” was what it was alleged to be is built on manipulating data and data collection, mixed with manipulating media and politicians for massive profits for the few.
When I ask for sources from those who hold other opinions, the sources seem to be second hand or the government entities doing the manipulation.
The early mandate for remdesivir as a protocol treatment, as an example, was as much market manipulation as was the early attacks on any early treatments which would have been unprofitable for the big pharmaceuticals. The global population's minimal numbers, as above, tell a tale.
Early treatment with appropriate anti viral therapies has been effective When applied. Withholding early onset therapy has dramatically raised death rates and spurred development of experimental therapies at enormous cost/profit.
This is being ever more shown to be a criminal enterpise.
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