Well they had better quit poking at the bear then. I understand they have voted to not allow Russian commercial shipping.
Anyone with commons sense who thinks that Russia will just use its ground forces needs to think beyond their noses. Russia will blast the livin hell out of the Ukraine ground forces with their air capabilities.
In the Black Sea, they will use their naval capabilities against any aggression there by NATO forces. Who in their right minds think that NATO naval forces have a chance long term in the Black Sea..
I believe that Russia will use Nuclear tipped torpedoes if it comes to it in the Black Sea.
With the Sh*ts and Giggles administration in, I personally think Russia will move after it makes half hearted attempts in negotiations. Kind of like to ones that went on prior to WW2.
If Russia moves, China marches.