Is her seat still safe? (redistricting)
“Is her seat still safe? (redistricting)”
The new district is, in Charlie Cook’s notation, R+8.
It was R+6 in 2020 so redistricting made it slightly better for her but R+8 is hardly “safe”. Nancy Pelosi’s D+26 district is safe; this one isn’t.
Even if this district was R+50 it still wouldn’t be safe for Boebert. Democrats are already organizing a dirty-tricks campaign in which Democrats will cross over (a la “Operation Chaos” in large numbers and vote in the Republican primary for Boebert’s opponent, Don Coram. Liberals can live with a presumable squish like Coram winning in November, as long they win big in the primary by ousting an outspoken conservative.
Not all Democrat dirty tricks work and the probability of this succeeding is low, but it’s far from impossible.