My own take is that the Ukrainians will be able to recover their territory occupied by the Russian military, setting aside Crimea.
A collapse of the Russian position once it begins could be quite rapid, similar to what happened with their position around Kiev, if the Russians cannot find some reserve forces somewhere.
I think behind the scenes between Putin and Lukashenko is wrangling by Putin to secure the Belarusian military as that reserve force, which Lukashenko has deftly managed to resist so far.
But the globalists have bigger plans than just driving the Russian invasion out of Ukraine, and they don't want to let this opportunity go to waste.
I definitely disagree. Ukraine isn’t getting anything back, Crimea or otherwise.
The Russians willingly pulled out of the Kiev to reposition around the Donbass and the south. They tried a quick strike to see if they could get something done fast. It didn’t work, they moved on.
Once the Russians get their hooks into the south and the east, it’s over. Just like Crimea 2014.
The Ukrainian military is weak. Apparently many mercenaries involved and they’re already supposedly tapping older reserves.
You can give those soldiers any weapons you want, they’re not going to get the job done. Especially the reserves.
I guess there’s a possibility of a Ukraine reclamation years down the line, like a Afghanistan/USSR conclusion. But I really doubt it.
Unlike Afghanistan, plenty of people in the areas Russia is looking to add (in my view) in Ukraine are ethnically Russian or Russian speaking. There’s an affinity there, built in.
Thus, Biden and the Dems (and whoever else, like Neocons) are left with “we helped sink a ship.”
Russia isn’t losing the war. They’re winning. They are decimating the Ukraine military, in a systemic way.
For Ukraine to try to hang in the fight, they need as much weaponry and as many mercenaries/foreign troops they can get.
We’ll see where it ends up. I doubt anything dramatic will happen anytime soon. But if it does, it will be the Russians taking more territory rather than ceding it.