State department believes Russia is likely to lose in Ukraine, and will likely have a coup attempt against Putin.
This is a risky move. Biden’s State department believes its not as risky if Russia will be in civil strife soon.
So what is the game plan in that scenario?
Position themselves to a narrative that serves and enriches themselves. Take as much credit as possible.
The US keeps upping the ante and hoping for a Russian coup which is unlikely to happen. Russia will never withdraw from Crimea or the Donbas, and any attempt to remove them from either will result in a tactical nuke being used.
An unstable Russia is a threat to Russia.
A stable Russia is a threat to everyone.