Their military stuff doesn’t work.
11 months has shown that the more complex the weapon, the less likely it us that it works
Russia knows the situation on the battlefield. Ukraine does, too.
The media does not. Be it RT or MSNBC, they do not know.
Western military analysts say Russia is not fighting for territory as a priority vs creating Ukraine casualties. These Western people note that Russia retreats whenever satellite recon shows they do not have a local advantage.
As has been true from day 1, this is the first war in the history of mankind where both sides have excellent satellite recon. The spacecraft common links reach Russia when overhead in Ukraine, providing near real time imagery. American recon must use NATO country relays back to the Pentagon, for transfer to Kiev. Not much more than an hour, if that.
Point being, there are no surprises. Russia does not lose many troops because they are withdrawn from anywhere vulnerable.
Ukraine largely cannot do this. Western supplies depend on them not losing territory. So they must endure casualties.
I don’t see how this reality can fail for Russia. Satellites have changed warfare. Battles are not fought if imagery shows disadvantage, unless politics forces commanders to order deaths.