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Japan gunning for strategic independence from US
Asia Times ^

Posted on 01/28/2023 5:19:32 AM PST by FarCenter

...

Janes Defense writer Takahashi Kosuke cites retired admiral Kawano Katsutoshi saying that US presidential elections every four years and always unpredictable American public opinion raises fundamental questions about the constancy and reliability of US extended deterrence for its allies.

Indeed, the longstanding strategic logic of US extended deterrence may have already been broken.

As Asia Times has previously reported, China and North Korea may already have capabilities to strike the US mainland from bastions in the South China Sea or within their territories using highly-lofted trajectory launches – making it unlikely the US would retaliate using nuclear weapons in defense of Japan when its territories are threatened by nuclear attack.

Although Kosuke noted that late prime minister Shinzo Abe mentioned NATO-style nuclear-sharing as an option for Japan, they would most likely remain under US control in such an arrangement.

Japan is thus now quickly developing indigenous deterrent capabilities. Asia Times has reported on Japan’s plans to acquire long-range cruise missiles for counterstrike purposes and its belated hypersonic weapons projects.


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: unpredictableamerica
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1 posted on 01/28/2023 5:19:32 AM PST by FarCenter
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To: FarCenter

I always wondered about this. How could any of our allies trust us to help when elections seem to change the entire trajectory of support for them?


2 posted on 01/28/2023 5:21:16 AM PST by rarestia (“A nation which can prefer disgrace to danger is prepared for a master, and deserves one.” -Hamilton)
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To: FarCenter

The Japanese are smart and creative. They should be able to develop the systems they want without a lot of extra effort.


3 posted on 01/28/2023 5:23:06 AM PST by ought-six (Multiculturalism is national suicide, and political correctness is the cyanide capsule. )
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To: FarCenter

Nobody trusts us anymore because we are totally corrupted. America pretends to be moral as this particular regime prattles on about “our values” but we have become the exact opposite.

Americans don’t trust America.


4 posted on 01/28/2023 5:26:18 AM PST by dforest (Joy Behar is a big mouth cow.)
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To: FarCenter

Translation: You Americans have become a dis-honorable mess.


5 posted on 01/28/2023 5:28:14 AM PST by Phoenix8
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To: FarCenter

An intelligent, homogeneous culture will address this issue in a swift manner.
Japan should act in its own best interest.
I think they will do just fine.


6 posted on 01/28/2023 5:28:43 AM PST by EEGator
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To: FarCenter

Japan would be wise to arm up - including going nuclear. It is never a good idea to be dependent on somebody else for your national defense.

Furthermore, America should want a strong Japan capable of defending itself. That would make them a much more valuable ally instead of a dependent. Its not 1946 anymore. The same goes for Europe, btw.


7 posted on 01/28/2023 5:29:19 AM PST by FLT-bird
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To: dforest

In just my lifetime, and I am only in my 40’s.


8 posted on 01/28/2023 5:29:44 AM PST by EEGator
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To: FarCenter

Can’t say I blame them.


9 posted on 01/28/2023 5:30:41 AM PST by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: FLT-bird

Japan is far better off than most of Europe, because they’re still Japan.
I find it odd that only “white countries” have been allowing 3rd world trash people to come to their countries.
Balkanization is societal death.
Diversity is a weakness.


10 posted on 01/28/2023 5:32:22 AM PST by EEGator
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To: FLT-bird

That worked out so well that least time...


11 posted on 01/28/2023 5:34:55 AM PST by Chainmail (Harrassment, to be effective, must be continuous.)
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To: FarCenter

After what’s going on in the Ukraine, I don’t blame them..


12 posted on 01/28/2023 5:40:42 AM PST by unread ("It's not enough that we do our best; sometimes we have to do what's required." W. Churchill.)
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To: FarCenter
Japan and South Korea either are...or should be..realizing that they can't rely on the US for help when there's a Rat in the WH. In fact they probably see that the Rats are destroying our Armed Forces because we are,in fact,the bad guy in world politics.

They also see that Red China is ruled by psychopaths and,thanks to our foolish policy of opening our ports to their goods over the last 40 years,they grow stronger every day.

13 posted on 01/28/2023 5:41:07 AM PST by Gay State Conservative (No Doubt Now: Stolen Election)
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To: ought-six

If they wanted to they could develop a nuke in months. So could the South Koreans. But Japanese citizens might have a problem with that.


14 posted on 01/28/2023 5:42:45 AM PST by Gay State Conservative (No Doubt Now: Stolen Election)
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To: EEGator

Yes,both Japan and South Korea are about 99% racially “pure”. Maybe that’s why they have crime rates that are 10% of what you see here...or in Europe...Australia,etc.


15 posted on 01/28/2023 5:44:49 AM PST by Gay State Conservative (No Doubt Now: Stolen Election)
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To: ought-six
The Japanese are smart and creative. They should be able to develop the systems they want without a lot of extra effort.

It'd be nice if they could contain Fukushima ...

16 posted on 01/28/2023 5:45:13 AM PST by usconservative (When The Ballot Box No Longer Counts, The Ammunition Box Does. (What's In Your Ammo Box?))
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To: Gay State Conservative

Perhaps the State Department needs to be more independent like the Fed or even Justice. It would make sense because coherence and continuity is needed. Foreign policy used to be more bipartisan. Voters-most couldn’t locate Ukraine or Taiwan on a map. They don’t know Ukraine would not be invaded under Trump. Like BJ lefties could deny.

Justice USD to be independant.


17 posted on 01/28/2023 5:47:42 AM PST by DIRTYSECRET
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To: rarestia

I will argue that:

There are treaties with terms that transcend executive changes


18 posted on 01/28/2023 5:47:49 AM PST by bert ( (KWE. NP. N.C. +12) Juneteenth is inequality day )
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To: dforest

You can take our moral measure easily. Biden allied with Ukraine. Utter total nihilistic corruption on both ends


19 posted on 01/28/2023 5:48:16 AM PST by AndyJackson (.)
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To: FarCenter
Janes Defense writer Takahashi Kosuke cites retired admiral Kawano Katsutoshi saying that US presidential elections every four years and always unpredictable American public opinion raises fundamental questions about the constancy and reliability of US extended deterrence for its allies.

While this is surely fair cause for great frustration on their part, it will not lead to a splitting if our current strategic partnership. Any sound and complete national security strategy for Japan, however, must consider and prepare for that contingency.

Aside from military partnership fluctuations, there is a new cultural resistance growing against the US now as well, by many of our partners. For example, any country that cannot distinguish between a man and a woman is not considered mentally sound, or healthy. And flying those gay pride flags at every US embassy is advertising our moral weakness and mental instability on a grand scale. Many other countries see that as the flag of the devil, or whatever other evil incarnates their cultures believe, and react accordingly.

20 posted on 01/28/2023 5:51:34 AM PST by Golden Eagle (The LGBT indoctrination agenda is designed to outlaw the Bible, and anyone who believes it.)
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