[central_va]

Many conservatives say the time is ripe for a “national divorce.” Despite the dissatisfaction felt by committed right-wingers, that alienation is not shared by a mass constituency. Secession/civil war would require millions of Americans to give up their homes, 401ks, and everything they’ve built up just so they can have Aunt Jemima on maple syrup bottles again. Conservatives can’t even be relied on to boycott the woke NFL, much less start their own nation. The majority of Americans are content with what they have and there is no separate identity for them to rally around.

Simply not true. A new nation of several states can have all those things.

[River Hawk]

Theoretically, yes. But Scott’s point is that now there is no serious critical mass for any sort of secession. As things stand now.
If, in the future, there is some sort of economic collapse, that could change.
We make predictions based on current trends but of course current trends can change.
So none of us really know.