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To: FreeReign
538’s final 2016 prediction had the chances of Trump winning in these states as follows... WI (16%) , MI (24%), PA(23%), FL(45%) and NC(44%).

What did they say in 2020?

And don't get me wrong. I don't swear by polling. This post is merely a snapshot of how things look at this moment. Of course, things can change.

10 posted on 04/29/2023 2:48:55 PM PDT by Drew68 (Ron DeSantis for President 2024. A real conservative.)
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To: Drew68
What did they say in 2020? And don't get me wrong. I don't swear by polling. This post is merely a snapshot of how things look at this moment. Of course, things can change.

I'll have to look.

The reason why I didn't check 2020 is because I believe the results were tainted in 2020.

15 posted on 04/29/2023 2:55:35 PM PDT by FreeReign
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To: Drew68
"Trump still has a 1-in-10 chance"

FiveThrityEight Nov. 3rd 2020

21 posted on 04/29/2023 3:00:09 PM PDT by FreeReign
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