Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Joe Biden has an electoral math problem to solve
CNN ^ | December 11, 2023 | by Zachary B. Wolf

Posted on 12/12/2023 8:45:14 AM PST by NohSpinZone

Forget the national polls that show the country has soured on President Joe Biden, and consider the Electoral College with less than 11 months until Election Day 2024.

Former President Donald Trump would need to flip three states Biden won in 2020 to complete his political resurrection and retake the White House – and a new set of CNN battleground state polls out Monday suggests that if the election were held today, Trump is most of the way there.

Biden, like Hillary Clinton, got millions more votes nationwide than Trump, but Biden secured the White House in 2020 thanks to the thinnest of margins in a few key states Clinton lost in 2016.

Georgia plus Michigan plus one more = a Trump win While national polling suggests the country doesn’t much approve of either Biden or Trump, it is battleground state polls like the ones CNN released Monday from Michigan and Georgia that should raise serious questions about Biden’s ability to make the Electoral College math work.

Assuming Trump secures the Republican nomination (a pretty good assumption at the moment), if he can flip Georgia and Michigan and their 31 combined Electoral College votes, he would need to flip just one more battleground state that Biden won in 2020. These include Arizona, with its 11 Electoral College votes; Pennsylvania with 19; or Wisconsin with 10.

SNIP

In the Georgia poll released Monday, Biden gets the support of 71% of Black voters (vs. 24% for Trump), not an exact comparison since those figures are among all registered voters, not necessarily those who will turn out to vote in 2024. But it certainly suggests Biden has work to do to maintain Democrats’ diverse coalition.

(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: biden; dahorserace; electoralcollege; horserace; michigan; thehorserace; trump; zacharybwolf
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-44 next last
To: NohSpinZone

When pinkos count the votes, this doesn’t matter. They will come up with enough votes to win.


21 posted on 12/12/2023 9:09:58 AM PST by vpintheak (Pinko misanthrope)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ChronicMA
the only effective vote manipulation has to be done in a handful of swing states

It really has to be done only in a few districts within that handful of states. You can bet that the machinery is all set up, and they won't care how blatant the steal is, because nothing will be done about it before, during, or after the election.

22 posted on 12/12/2023 9:16:29 AM PST by HartleyMBaldwin
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: NohSpinZone
Joe Biden has an electoral math problem to solve

Please - Joe can't add 2 + 2, but he's counting on hacked voting machines and crooked dem vote counters.

23 posted on 12/12/2023 9:16:42 AM PST by The Sons of Liberty (Piss Off a Lib - MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: NohSpinZone

“Biden, like Hillary Clinton, got millions more votes nationwide than Trump”

FALSE. At least until they closed the counting and then fixed the numbers.


24 posted on 12/12/2023 9:20:25 AM PST by GrumpyOldGuy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: NohSpinZone

“... Dimms are whining harder about the Electoral College not being fair”

Wonder what the whiners think about the way we make laws.

Our Senate, the senior chamber, has each state equally represented.

Our junior chamber, the House of Representatives, parallels the popular vote. Representation for a given state is based on its population.


25 posted on 12/12/2023 9:32:08 AM PST by cymbeline
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: NohSpinZone

Biden did not win many of the states in 2020 they are claiming he did, because the election was stolen, therefore one cannot use it for comparison as the ‘control group’ for 2024


26 posted on 12/12/2023 9:32:44 AM PST by oil_dude
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: NohSpinZone
You can always count on Good Ole Joe to solve tough math problems. Why, just a couple days ago, he gave a brilliant exhibition of his mathematical ability:
"On my watch...over a billion three hundred million trillion three hundred million dollars."

SOURCE: White House Quietly Corrects Joe Biden Transcript After Numbers Gaffe By Thomas Kika


27 posted on 12/12/2023 9:32:56 AM PST by ProtectOurFreedom (“Occupy your mind with good thoughts or your enemy will fill them with bad ones.” ~ Thomas More)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: NohSpinZone

Biden, like Hillary Clinton, got millions more votes nationwide than Trump,[solely based upon the results in California].


28 posted on 12/12/2023 9:45:58 AM PST by lepton ("It is useless to attempt to reason a man out of a thing he was never reasoned into"--Jonathan Swift)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: NohSpinZone

I think Biden will be exiting the Presidential campaign pretty soon now.


29 posted on 12/12/2023 9:46:25 AM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: struggle
The problem is that, this time, no one will believe that the election is legitimate if they win.

A majority doesn't even buy 2020. There will be a fundamental break in the social compact if there's another cycle of Bidet unable to draw flies but suddenly getting the most votes in history, with many magically materializing in the middle of the night in Democrat-controlled city centers in contested states, after counting was halted by water line breaks/mechanical problems/dog ate my vote, and observers dismissed/barred from the premises, and with anyone questioning the mathematical impossibility of it all being set upon as a criminal element and held as a political prisoner.

It will have to be some other angle, a black swan to fundamentally alter the landscape of the election, either who is running, who is allowed to run, who is alive to run, or even whether it occurs at all.

30 posted on 12/12/2023 9:53:08 AM PST by Dr.Deth
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: Owen

The only way Trump wins is when California falls into the ocean. At 54 electoral votes, it’s the big tamale that is solid Dem.


31 posted on 12/12/2023 10:03:00 AM PST by DownInFlames (p)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: NohSpinZone

Joe Biden does not have an electoral math problem.

Unless anybody thinks he will be the Democrat nominee for 2024.

Raise your hand if you still think Joe Biden will be the Democrat nominee.

Anybody? No one? Didn’t think so. :-)


32 posted on 12/12/2023 10:05:23 AM PST by enumerated (81 million votes my ass)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: NohSpinZone

When CNN starts ringing the alarm bells for Dims, there is a big problem for their candidates.


33 posted on 12/12/2023 10:19:17 AM PST by Midwesterner53
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: NohSpinZone

Actually all the Democrats need to know is the ‘Margin of Cheat’ they need in each of five states named. Once they calulate that number, all they need is enough ballots to cover it.


34 posted on 12/12/2023 10:23:04 AM PST by Tupelo (( e pluribus unum is now ex uno multis))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Owen

I’m not sure what “Dem coalition ethnicity” means, but it could make a difference in Georgia and Pennsylvania. If Biden loses enough Black votes it could make a difference in other states.


35 posted on 12/12/2023 10:45:55 AM PST by x
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: NohSpinZone

Trump will not win PA due to Pro abort and never trumper Republicans. They will do everything to defeat him. Including not getting the senate seat of Casey.


36 posted on 12/12/2023 10:51:26 AM PST by kvanbrunt2
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Dr.Deth

>It will have to be some other angle, a black swan to fundamentally alter the landscape of the election, either who is running, who is allowed to run, who is alive to run, or even whether it occurs at all.

This is what I’m thinking. False flag attack on NATO ship in the Black Sea, false flag terrorist attack in American > martial law > no elections.

They think it’s just that easy, but there will be massive pushback if it happens.


37 posted on 12/12/2023 11:04:28 AM PST by struggle
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 30 | View Replies]

To: NohSpinZone

Obviously political pundits have to eat and write this garbage, but Trump only needed 1 of 3 of WI, MI, and PA,to win in 2016 and did not have a consistent lead in any of those 3. but won them all. GA and AZ were always a given. In 2020 Trump had a consistent polling lead in all 5, the question was would he pick up other states like NV, NH, etc.
Leading in polls in 2020 didnt matter then why would it matter in 2024? Not to be a downer, but these writers have to ignore their own facts in order to write this stuff OR they have to concede there was a steal.


38 posted on 12/12/2023 11:21:35 AM PST by pghbjugop
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: NohSpinZone
Biden, like Hillary Clinton, got millions more votes nationwide than Trump

Tell a lie often enough… and it’s still a lie.

39 posted on 12/12/2023 11:31:43 AM PST by Sicon ("All animals are equal, but some animals are more equal than others." - G. Orwell>)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Leaning Right
As for me, I’m expecting a late October surprise that will smear Trump like no candidate has ever been smeared.

Yep. It's that story about Trump's tying a black, trans teenager down on a stone altar, cutting its heart out, holding it up to the sun god, and then eating it, all on video.

40 posted on 12/12/2023 11:44:41 AM PST by 17th Miss Regt ( )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-44 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson