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ECM – the Secret Cycle – It Covered Even Poland
Armstrong Economics ^ | 15 Jan 2024 | Martin Armstrong

Posted on 01/15/2024 12:42:08 PM PST by delta7

COMMENT: Name: Dear Martin Re your Blog: Poland’s New Government, Pro-War, Pro-EU I kept a copy of your blog ‘Poland & Niger ‘ Posted Aug 9, 2023. along with a screen-shot of the August projected ECM for Poland highlighting October 26th as the next turning point:

FYI, it was this day that President Duda called for a new Polish parliament to convene after the October 15th elections, one to be led by former (unelected) EU President Donald Tusk. It is not a complete Left turn, more of a veering Left, as he needed to form a coalition in order to form a government.

However, Tusk’s first port of call was the European Commission, where a previously withheld grant of 59 Billion Euro was waiting for him, once Poland had complied with European Commission directives – which Tusk is keen to do. I fear for Poland’s future and fear we are being sold down the river as the next buffer in line after Ukraine has lost the next batch of 500,000 drafted soldiers.

Thank you for all the work that you have put into Socrates; its projections are amazing.

REPLY: It has been a fascinating discovery that has targeted so many things precisely to the very day. In 1985, I was called in for they were looking to create the G5, which became the Plaza Accord that set out to force the manipulation of the dollar lower to help reduce the trade deficit. I wrote even to President Reagan at the time.

I even took the back page of the Economist in July 1985 for three weeks to announce that the model had forecast that was the end of deflation, the peak in the dollar, and the low in gold. For 40 years, I have been trying to demonstrate that this model confirms that there has been a business cycle that can be projected decades in advance.

From the 1985 low in our model, which projected the peak in the dollar, the next turning point was 1987. That produced the 1987 Crash precisely to the day, and then the next turning point not only pinpointed the peak in the Japanese economy and the Bubble Top in their share market but projected the collapse of Communism as well. The Pi Target produced the day of the ERM Crisis in Europe, and then the wave ended in 1994.25, and once again, that was the precise day of the low in the US share market. That projected the shift of the capital flows, which initially moved from Japan to South East Asia. Still, the capital flows returned to the USA and Europe, anticipating the coming Euro in 1998.

I was stunned when the 1987 Crash happened precisely on that day. Because the low was the very ECM date of October 19th, 1987, I told clients that the low was in place and we would make new highs going into the next turning point, 1989.95. That forecast was also correct, even though many thought it was crazy and impossible. The banks attributed the model’s accuracy to my influence simply because my firm was the largest institutional adviser worldwide. They complained to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, who even subpoenaed me, demanding I turn over a list of all my clients worldwide and they would prove I was manipulating the world economy. I defended against them in court and won.

The next wave, #932, covered 1994.25 to 2002.85. The US share market bottomed on the precise day 1994.25; it rallied and peaked precisely on July 20th, 1998, and bottomed on 2002.85, three days after that target. This wave saw the Asian Currency Crisis as a turning point, the collapse of Russia 1998, taking down Long-Term Capital Management, and the Pi Target produced the precise day of the 9/11 attack. So, this was an incredibly accurate wave.

am working hard on trying to finish the book on this model. I am trying to go through the waves and to show there is a hidden order behind what people think is just this random walk theory, which was devised by people who could not comprehend cycles. As I have said many times in school, they said the economy is random so that the government can manipulate us at will – i.e., Keynesian economics. But that has failed, and I hope to get this out, documenting that the global economy is not random. Everything is connected, and we must start looking at the accuracy of this model that the New Yorker Magazine called The Secret Cycle.


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs
KEYWORDS: alwayswrong; convictedscammer; felon; fraud; garbage; qtardclown; traitor; war
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Be sure to view the imbedded ECM charts and cycles. I mention this article as Poland announced a new law….all who are called up into the military have (SIX) 6 HOURS !!! to report for induction to the military.

Sounds like it is Ukie war related, comments across Polish media go from NATO intervention to Poland moving into Ukraine ( reclaiming their historic land?). We shall see.

1 posted on 01/15/2024 12:42:08 PM PST by delta7
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To: delta7

Forgot, the details, verified by many Polish reactions on social media.

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/international-news/poland/poland-issues-military-order-you-have-6-hrs-to-report-for-service/

“ As of yesterday, Poland has issued a new directive that if you are called for military service, you have just 6 hours to report. The penalty for failure to report is three years in prison. If you cannot make it there in 6 hours, call the commander and explain why. If you fail to show up and avoid military service, you will be imprisoned for five years.

Poland is now CLEARLY preparing for war.”

——————-
When I first saw Ania’s social post on this new Polish law, I thought like Ania, to deploy Polish “ Peace Keeping “ troops into Ukraine….but Martin has a different take…we shall see.


2 posted on 01/15/2024 12:53:25 PM PST by delta7
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To: delta7

ECM? WTF? TLA. Loose the fu****g code. Use English.
Please.


3 posted on 01/15/2024 12:54:05 PM PST by sasquatch
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To: delta7

They want Slavs to kill each other off.


4 posted on 01/15/2024 12:55:01 PM PST by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: delta7
Italian Trulli
5 posted on 01/15/2024 12:56:17 PM PST by Jan_Sobieski (Sanctification)
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To: delta7

Something definitely up….a bunch of Strykers massing on the “ corridor “…

https://t.me/boris_rozhin/109686

Translate yourself , spoon feeding is not my game.


6 posted on 01/15/2024 1:15:54 PM PST by delta7
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To: delta7

ECM = Economic Confidence Model™


7 posted on 01/15/2024 1:19:47 PM PST by null and void (I identify as a conspiracy theorist. My personal pronouns are told/you/so.)
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To: null and void

I thought it was a record label.


8 posted on 01/15/2024 1:20:30 PM PST by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: delta7

Confirmed:

Bild news outlet reports plans to bring 30k troops to the eastern NATO border at Suwalki.

https://www.bmvg.de/de/aktuelles/bundeswehrbrigade-litauen-minister-unterzeichnet-roadmap-5718672
———
Why do we have to learn all the Ukie news on foreign channels? ….


9 posted on 01/15/2024 1:20:53 PM PST by delta7
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To: dfwgator

That’s RSO, no, not Registered Sex Offender, but Robert Stigwood Organisation


10 posted on 01/15/2024 1:22:07 PM PST by null and void (I identify as a conspiracy theorist. My personal pronouns are told/you/so.)
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To: dfwgator

They want Slavs to kill each other off.
————-
Yes, and no. Christians are pitted against each other and being decimated. Think spiritually. We have Eastern Orthodox Christians pitted against each other, both Russia and Ukraine’s people are Christians, Satan is laughing.


11 posted on 01/15/2024 1:38:03 PM PST by delta7
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To: delta7

And then they’ll throw the Polish Roman Catholics into the mix. To them Christian is Christian, they don’t care about the specifics.


12 posted on 01/15/2024 1:39:37 PM PST by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: sasquatch
ECM? WTF? TLA. Loose the fu****g code. Use English. Please.

ECM = Economic Confidence Model
WTF = What the Firetruck
TLA = The Losing Algorithm (If you meant TLA+)

TLA+ is a “formal specification language”, a means of designing systems that lets you directly test those designs. Developed by the Turing award-winner Leslie Lamport, TLA+ has been endorsed by companies like AWS, Microsoft, and CrowdStrike. TLA+ doesn’t replace our engineering skill but augments it. With TLA+ we can design systems faster and more confidently.

But The Secret Code is what you still must understand, if you are to understand anything. 😋 👍 🤣

13 posted on 01/15/2024 1:53:56 PM PST by Robert DeLong
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To: dfwgator

I thought it was Electronic Counter Measures.

But I am retired USAF... Used to do a lot of ECM, Tempest, ComSec, etc.


14 posted on 01/15/2024 2:41:02 PM PST by Alas Babylon! (Repeal the Patriot Act; Abolish the DHS; reform FBI top to bottom!)
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To: Robert DeLong

Gotcha.
TLA= three letter acronym


15 posted on 01/15/2024 2:50:40 PM PST by sasquatch
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To: sasquatch

That too. 🤣


16 posted on 01/15/2024 2:55:00 PM PST by Robert DeLong
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To: sasquatch

Yeah. I see ECM and I think Electronic Counter-Measures.


17 posted on 01/15/2024 2:56:21 PM PST by PLMerite ("They say that we were Cold Warriors. Yes, and a bloody good show, too." - Robert Conquest )
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To: delta7
Wow. The ECM model and computer program predicts stocks, economics, war, politics, you name it.

Except it does not exist.

As I have pointed out repeatedly, Armstrong claimed to have rights to use the IBM Sequoia super computer right after he was released from prison.

When it comes to political commentary, its not hard to find better than convicted felon, fraudster, ponzi schemer, and really bad liar.

18 posted on 01/15/2024 9:47:43 PM PST by Widget Jr
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To: Widget Jr

Sorry you feel that way. My advice, listen to his cycles ( like many sovereign governments do), or disregard.

I have done very, very, well listening to his commentary and following his ECM for more than twenty years. They are making the third movie on his career, “ The Forecaster” was the first awhile back, the US banned it in the US, it sold out in Germany and the EU.


19 posted on 01/16/2024 8:19:00 AM PST by delta7
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To: delta7

You can watch the first movie about his career here:

https://theforecaster-movie.com/


20 posted on 01/16/2024 8:20:51 AM PST by delta7
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