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The poll relied on 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Republican primary voters living in New Hampshire (406 Republicans and 194 undeclared voters (independents)) from January 12-15, 2024. Margin of Error: ± 4
1 posted on 01/17/2024 2:22:50 AM PST by Syncro
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To: Everybody

I don’t know how accurate this is...just cruzing a day ran across it...


2 posted on 01/17/2024 2:24:55 AM PST by Syncro (God is Good--Facts is Facts)
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To: Syncro

Fake poll psyops operation.


3 posted on 01/17/2024 2:25:11 AM PST by Openurmind (The ultimate test of a moral society is the kind of world it leaves to its children. ~ D. Bonhoeffer)
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To: Syncro

Mass-holes......................


5 posted on 01/17/2024 2:26:48 AM PST by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegal aliens are put up in hotels.....................)
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To: Syncro

There will always be one state. I expect any state within commuting distance of Washington DC to be be Haley friendly, because she is less likely to cut the federal bureaucracy.


7 posted on 01/17/2024 2:27:33 AM PST by Jonty30 (In a nuclear holocaust, there is always a point in time where the meat is cooked to perfection. )
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To: Syncro

How many of the likely Republican primary voters were Democrats a month ago?


8 posted on 01/17/2024 2:29:54 AM PST by ArcadeQuarters (You can't remove RINOs by voting for them!)
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To: Syncro

“Pollster Mark Blumenthal reported that “It is important to note that what ARG does ... is very different from the way other pollsters ask about party ID. ARG asks about party registration in some states, party identification in others and then combines the two results into a single variable. Whatever the merits of this approach, the results will not be comparable to those of other polling organizations.”[3]

In 2004, Gallup interviewed ARG about a poor prediction (22 points adrift) in the Maryland Democratic primary and found their “likely voter” model was “based on just the one question, [which] is a relatively simple approach to classifying voters.”[4]

ARG was criticised in 2007 for only using landline respondents, which they justified by arguing that cellular phone users, who are mostly younger people, mostly “don’t vote”.[5]”

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_Research_Group


11 posted on 01/17/2024 2:34:17 AM PST by Openurmind (The ultimate test of a moral society is the kind of world it leaves to its children. ~ D. Bonhoeffer)
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To: Syncro

American Research Group has a long history of being wildly off the mark. It has been called the “black sheep” of polling companies.

Probably used on landlines.


12 posted on 01/17/2024 2:36:20 AM PST by odawg
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To: Syncro

New England left the United States long ago.


13 posted on 01/17/2024 2:40:33 AM PST by Bookshelf
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To: Syncro

Tiny state where the $$$ per voter is huge but the total cost to mount a campaign is doable for marginal candidates.


16 posted on 01/17/2024 2:42:27 AM PST by Andy from Chapel Hill (Wind energy windmills remove the energy from the wind, which causes global warming.)
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To: Syncro

Duh trump will win the REPUBLICAN primary and Haley will win the Democrat primary


17 posted on 01/17/2024 2:42:47 AM PST by personalaccts (Is George W going to protect the border?)
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To: Syncro

Yawn...every four years soviet Red Hampshire goes thru a few weeks long ‘look at me’ phase where they allow border-hoppers to vote in their irrelevant rigged primary that allows democrats to influence the results for the pleasure of the marxist media. Every four years; same old, same old. Whatever. Ignore them.


24 posted on 01/17/2024 2:52:01 AM PST by who knows what evil? (Hospitals are the most dangerous place on Earth! Dr. David Williams)
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To: Syncro

Shock BS push poll nobody will believe......


33 posted on 01/17/2024 3:08:50 AM PST by FLT-bird
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To: Syncro

RINO misdirect, but watch out for huge RINO manipulation. If Nikki underperforms in NH she’s toast, and they know it. They can’t let another Trump blowout happen again.
The RINOs have one last chance, New Hampshire, because after NH, it’s all Trump.
Count on the RINOs to make the most of it, with the help of the very unAmerican Sununu family. They’ve been in the pocket of the Bush globalists since the 1970s.


34 posted on 01/17/2024 3:09:22 AM PST by Thapsus_epiphany (Socialism is a prison, Communism is a death camp )
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To: Syncro
B.S. poll.

Real Clear Politics has Trump up 14.2 points over Haley in their average of recent polls.

35 posted on 01/17/2024 3:16:16 AM PST by Yo-Yo (Is the /Sarc tag really necessary? Pray for President Biden: Psalm 109:8)
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To: Syncro
Operation Chaos amongst Republicans.

Maybe.

Rush Limbaugh would be proud.

36 posted on 01/17/2024 3:21:28 AM PST by usconservative (When The Ballot Box No Longer Counts, The Ammunition Box Does. (What's In Your Ammo Box?))
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To: Syncro

Eric Boling had New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu on last night (Newsmax) and based on his attitude towards Boling and Trump, I think it’s fair to say that he’s a flaming assh*le. If he’s a lawyer then maybe that would account for half of it. Nevertheless, Boling said he’d like to have Sununu back on his show post-NH.


38 posted on 01/17/2024 3:28:02 AM PST by equaviator (If 60 is the new 40 then 35 must be the new 15.)
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To: Syncro

Don’t forget, here in NH we have “Same Day Registration” which the collage kids (and Mass residents) use all the time for voting.

So, then bus them in to various towns. The do a one day registration (all they have to say is they are planning to move to the town within the next 6 months or so). Then they get to vote. They get back on the bus and go to the next town.

Haley has been bombarding NH with ads like crazy, so anything is possible.

I’ll be their Tuesday morning ready to vote for Trump.


41 posted on 01/17/2024 3:38:59 AM PST by CapnJack ( )
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To: Syncro

RCP doesn’t even include this poll in its averages. Legit pollsters call this one a fraud, intended to give Haley one more chance to damage Trump.

Anti-Trumpers will go to great (any) lengths— including switching party affiliations for a day— to vote Haley. In cooperation with Guv.. This will be her best showing.

Resist the ensuing hype.


42 posted on 01/17/2024 3:41:39 AM PST by chiller (Davey Crockett said: "Be sure you're right. Then go ahead'. I'll go ahead.)
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To: Syncro

44 posted on 01/17/2024 3:57:10 AM PST by Pollard (Hi)
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To: Syncro

NH is a state full of demorats who pretend they are conservatives. They are mostly goofballs. What they want is to be noticed.

I think I’ll watch an episode of Bob Newhart after the election to see Larry Larry and Darrell, stereotyped NH voters.


45 posted on 01/17/2024 4:02:45 AM PST by anton
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