Posted on 02/16/2024 8:32:58 PM PST by SeekAndFind
Several key indicators of the 2024 election environment indicate that President Joe Biden faces an uphill climb to win a second term. His job approval rating, Americans’ satisfaction with how things are going in the country and their confidence in the economy are below the levels associated with successful reelection bids in recent elections.
While Democrats hold a slight edge in national party identification and partisan leanings, that advantage is smaller than what it has been in past presidential elections won by Democratic incumbents.
In less direct measures of the electoral environment, Americans are more inclined to say that they are worse off financially, that it is harder to buy things and that the U.S. is as respected throughout the world as it was before Biden took office.
Biden’s fate will ultimately be determined by whether Americans’ views on these metrics improve over the course of the year (as they did for Bill Clinton in 1996 and Barack Obama in 2012), stay the same or get worse (as they did for George H.W. Bush in 1992 and Donald Trump in 2020).
Incumbent job approval is arguably the best predictor of reelection success. Presidents with approval ratings of 50% or higher close to Election Day have all been reelected. All but one president with a sub-50% approval rating lost, the exception being George W. Bush. He won reelection with a 48% approval rating in Gallup’s final 2004 preelection poll taken in late October. However, he registered multiple 50% readings earlier in the month and had a 51% approval rating among likely voters in that final survey.
Among the approval ratings that did not carry incumbents to victory, Trump’s 46% approval rating is the highest and Gerald Ford’s 45% close
(Excerpt) Read more at news.gallup.com ...
Election fraud????
RE: Election fraud????
Soros: I’ll have two helpings. Supersize them.
Two possibilities:
1) Dems let Biden lose as he slips into worse cognitive decline that cannot be hidden.
2) Dems get Biden out and replace him with an exciting, fresh, popular candidate and combine that with all out election fraud backed by media and court system approval.
“Are you better off than you were four years ago?”
I have a feeling the rats 🐀 will put someone else in there, but no matter how much Trump is ahead, the rats 🐀 will do election fraud.
Unlikeability is killing biden. Apparently, he is unlikeable enough that no one will do the dangerous work of voter fraud.
The globalists are in trouble.
They’re capable of ANYTHING.
Yes. Dems are like ex-cons who can’t help going back to crime again.
The globalists are in trouble.
They’re capable of ANYTHING.
...............
My thinking too. Things like this are going to send them into overdrive plus.
RE: They’re capable of ANYTHING.
May God protect Donald Trump.
Really we can all stop talking of Joe’s election hopes. He won’t be the nominee.
They will run Gretchen Whitmer and the meatheads will vote like trained dogs.
The State of the Union is coming up March 7th. How will Biden get through that?
AI will splice past words and phrases and add CGI mouth movements with his face looking like 1990 again. If Jurassic Park and Forrest Gump can make illusions look real, so can the Dems. And they will use crowd cheers and applause from Beatles and Elvis shows.
Wolf Blitzer and Rachel Maddow: I have to admit Biden was surprisingly great tonight. I was truly impressed.
......... Not this again ..... Another Red Tsunami is on it's way right? ...... Never underestimate the strength and cunning of the enemy .....
.
The more “The Big Guy” tanks in the polls, the harder it is for the Rats to steal enough votes to “reelect” him without everyone disbelieving he won.
Re: 15 - won’t mean a thing when he’s in front of a live audience.
Criminal activity, such as election fraud, is like crack to these A holes. They are addicted to it.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.