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The Countdown to the End of Extend and Pretend
Urban Land ^ | 3/4/24 | Hannah Miet

Posted on 03/23/2024 8:01:59 AM PDT by Lockbox

For months, if not years, panic-inducing headlines have lamented the existential crisis facing the U.S. office market as a “wall of maturities” looms: $2.2 trillion of commercial real estate debt coming due between now and the end of 2027, according to Trepp estimates.

Rather than sell at significant losses or refinance into interest rates that currently stand at 23-year highs, many office owners are clinging to backward-looking valuations calculated during cushier times by asking lenders for extensions—often granted only in the short-term—on loans that would otherwise mature.

(Excerpt) Read more at urbanland.uli.org ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Crime/Corruption; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: lowervaluevsloan
HERE AG James, here’s your RICO and it’s not Trump! Why have you not gone after this industry wide fraud.
1 posted on 03/23/2024 8:01:59 AM PDT by Lockbox
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To: Lockbox
The Latisha Mugabe law enforcement approach actually feeds this sort of strategy in commercial real estate.

Lenders don’t want to foreclose on properties in New York because they (the lenders) have assigned an effective value of $0 to the underlying assets.

2 posted on 03/23/2024 8:09:02 AM PDT by Alberta's Child (If something in government doesn’t make sense, you can be sure it makes dollars.)
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To: Lockbox

Banks are famous for being lousy managers of distressed income properties. The smart loan committees will make deals, the dumb ones will do the boiling frog routine.


3 posted on 03/23/2024 8:19:19 AM PDT by SaxxonWoods (Are you ready for Black Lives MAGA? It's coming.)
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To: Lockbox
Somehow investors are able to come up with billions of dollars to purchase hundreds of thousands of homes with cash squeezing out the average Joe with the American Dream, but they have to borrow to buy commercial real estate.

Sketchy, sketchy, sketchy.

4 posted on 03/23/2024 8:22:56 AM PDT by who_would_fardels_bear (What is left around which to circle the wagons?action )
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To: who_would_fardels_bear
Single-family homes are not well suited for debt financing as investment properties. All the advantages of mortgage financing in the residential market are mostly applicable to homes that are used as the owner’s primary residence.

Commercial real estate is better suited to debt financing for several reasons. A big one is that lease terms tend to be much longer — which gives the lender more confidence that the borrow will have sufficient cash flow to make the payments.

5 posted on 03/23/2024 8:33:42 AM PDT by Alberta's Child (If something in government doesn’t make sense, you can be sure it makes dollars.)
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To: Lockbox

“HERE AG James, here’s your RICO and it’s not Trump! Why have you not gone after this industry wide fraud. ”

Her persecution of Trump has nothing to do with any crime. She is a hateful black woman, racist to her core. She vowed to “get Trump” from day one of her campaign. Same with that Willis cow in Fulton county GA. This is “get whitey” on steroids. Prove me wrong.


6 posted on 03/23/2024 8:40:13 AM PDT by bk1000 (Banned from Breitbart)
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To: Alberta's Child

Many investors apply as “owner occupied” get a 30 year lower interest mortgage and get a sleeping bag and take a few photos of themselves sleeping in the newly acquired property to avoid a mortgage fraud conviction and convert the property to rental.

Not recommending this approach but it does work flawlessly.


7 posted on 03/23/2024 8:44:14 AM PDT by anton
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To: Lockbox

Great article, thanks for posting!


8 posted on 03/23/2024 9:18:08 AM PDT by Panzerfaust (The HK P7 .....it's what Jesus would carry)
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To: anton
Institutional investors sure don’t operate that way.

And the scenario you describe may not be a major problem as long as the mortgage is being paid. The bigger issue is when it comes to maintaining consistency for insurance, income tax and capital gains tax purposes.

9 posted on 03/23/2024 9:56:43 AM PDT by Alberta's Child (If something in government doesn’t make sense, you can be sure it makes dollars.)
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To: Lockbox

.


10 posted on 03/23/2024 10:37:26 AM PDT by sauropod (Ne supra crepidam.)
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To: Alberta's Child

All of accounting has a basic assumption which can be a major problem.

The assumption is that the business (or investment or loan) is with a going concern.

Many of these office buildings are not going concerns—they are extend and pretend Unicorns.


11 posted on 03/23/2024 10:47:25 AM PDT by cgbg ("Our democracy" = Their Kleptocracy)
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To: bk1000
I don’t disagree

Selective prosecution is the enforcement or prosecution of criminal laws against a particular class of persons and the simultaneous failure to administer criminal laws against others out-side the targeted class. The U.S. Supreme Court has held that selective prosecution exists where the enforcement or prosecution of a Criminal Law is "directed so exclusively against a particular class of persons … with a mind so unequal and oppressive" that the administration of the criminal law amounts to a practical denial of Equal Protection of the law (United States v. Armstrong, 517 U.S. 456, 116 S. Ct. 1480, 134 L. Ed. 2d 687 [1996], quoting yick wo v. hopkins, 118 U.S. 356, 6 S. Ct. 1064, 30 L. Ed. 220 [1886]). Specifically, police and prosecutors may not base the decision to arrest a person for, or charge a person with, a criminal offense based on "an unjustifiable standard such as race, religion, or other arbitrary classification" (United States v. Armstrong, quoting Oyler v. Boles, 368 U.S. 448, 82 S. Ct. 501, 7 L. Ed. 2d 446 [1962]).

12 posted on 03/23/2024 11:13:18 AM PDT by Lockbox (politicians, they all seemed like game show hosts to me.... Sting…)
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To: who_would_fardels_bear

The housing play was another big money mistake. They underestimated the cost of renting to people who are entitled and do care about anything except themselves. So these rental home communities are not working out as planned.


13 posted on 03/23/2024 11:16:07 AM PDT by Lockbox (politicians, they all seemed like game show hosts to me.... Sting…)
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