2.5X is patently absurd. Vehicle efficiency is the same. F = MA is still true. Except electric trucks weigh a LOT more so much more energy is wasted accelerating that mass. It is ridiculous to assert that electric power generation, transmission and distribution would cost that much less than refining and delivering diesel to stations. Especially when we don’t have anywhere near enough generating capacity or T&D capacity to power electric consumer and commercial fleets. Only magical EV unicorns could account for that 2.5X advantage.
PepsiCo confirms 1.7kWh to the mile for Telsa semi with full loads. Compare that to 7mpg for a typical semi. I’ll leave it to you to do the math.
I’ll help out one gal of diesel has a lower heating value of 128,488 Btu/gal, Electricity is 3412 btu to the kWh
This is a text book example of first law vs second law of thermodynamics machines.
For regional trucking the Tesla Semi looks to be a winner economically. Given that a 300 mile version can be had for $150,000 new.
Nearly half of all new trucks are day cabs only used in regional trucking under 300 miles out and back.
https://www.act-news.com/news/growth-of-regional-haul-could-present-opportunities/
Clearflame has data showing they are even cheaper than both electrics and diesel while meeting all future EPA emissions regs today.
NOx SOx,and especially PM2.5 are real pollutants that diesel will never be as clean as spot free fuels it’s a matter if physics the NOx soot trade off is a function of diesel fuel carbon chain length no amounts of particulate filters nor SCR will get it to zero zero. Cummins and clearflame both have zero,zero,zero engines certified on soot free fuels, be it natural gas , hydrogen or alcohols.