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Some people here have been voicing their hope that Elizabeth is still alive. If by some chance that's true, what would be the most likely scenarios? One that comes to mind is that she has, indeed, run away. She had no idea just how big her disappearance would become and now she, along with a boyfriend perhaps, is afraid to reappear. Can anyone think of any other likely scenarios?

Personally, I don't believe she is still alive. When I see the pics of Ricci and that other ex-con, I wonder, "How horrific for that to be the last face little Elizabeth saw."

Some people here have been voicing their hope that Elizabeth is still alive. If by some chance that's true, what would be the most likely scenarios? One that comes to mind is that she has, indeed, run away. She had no idea just how big her disappearance would become and now she, along with a boyfriend perhaps, is afraid to reappear.

That was one of my first thoughts (it ran into a lot of opposition from Ricci accusers). I hope it's true, because it seems to be the most likely scenario for her to remain alive.

There are many possible scenarios that could play into this if she is still alive. I don't want to go into detail about them. But you you search the web under "child stranger abductions" or "stranger abductions" or "non-family abductions". Also you have to study the perps that take children of Liz's age. Younger children are normally taken for different reasons than why teenagers are. Liz was 14, but due to her height... her perp may have thought she was older... Her face is mature looking also, but her body was not as mature as the majority of 14 year old teenagers. When the FBI do a profile on the perp... they consider many things... things about the victim and why she may have been picked out and then they built a profile on that and how the perp acted in the house and how he carried it out, to set a profile on him.

In my opinion... who did this was smarter than Ricci... it was not done for ransom oe was not done at random, but for self satisfaction on the perps part. He is older (40+) and is someone that knows the family or has seen Elizabeth before and studied her. He is also someone who is very confident in everyday life around others and he thinks he is untouchable. I also think he has grabbed teenagers before, probably of the streets or may have actually taken a teenager from their home before. This is someone that has gone undetected in the past in the area. He probably has a wife of his own and he probably has a nice size collection of underage (teenager) type porno. As far as her being alive... it is possible, as Liz is not a typical teenager in many ways, she may be worth keeping alive in the kidnappers eyes as he may actually have feelings for her. Another things is she may have been picked out partly because of her family's wealth. This would make the crime even more exciting to the perp. If I am right about who the perp is and if she is dead... he has something of hers. I may be something he took before the kidnapping or after it. It could be her panties as she was not wearing any jewelry. Just 2 piece pj's, shoes and panties probably. Or he may have taken pictures of her sometime and he has these. Until I see hard physical evidence in this case that Ricci is involved...then I believe Ricci is not the one. I also think the police have doubts also now that he is not the one, but now they have to make sure he is not the one since he has told conflicting stories. Ricci may be trying to hide something that is completely unrelated to the Smart case.

Except some of us believe that, if she is indeed no longer among the living, she is seeing faces much more glorious than any here on Earth anyway.

Heavenly Father,

Though it appears that nothing has changed here on earth, yet we know that You are in charge and that You have heard every one of our prayers that have been lifted up on Elizabeth's behalf. We commit this precious child to You, Father, knowing that You have promised to give Your angels charge over her to keep her in all her ways. We lay claim to that promise in Your Word, and we keep our eyes focused on You, our source of hope and truth. We pray that You will sustain Ed and Lois Smart during these long days of anxious waiting. We pray, Father, for Your hand of mercy and righteousness to move in this case. In the Name of Jesus, Amen.

I can't stand the thought of what might have happened to Elizabeth. What is going on with the investigation makes me think the cops are clueless.

The other idea is that after he had his way with her, or whatever sick perverted thing he did, he might have let her go way in the mountains somewhere to fend for herself. But who knows?? I too, feel like perhaps she is dead, but im still trying to cling to hope.