I agree with the other things you said, but I don't think the war 'mistake' is what cost him the election. However, I do believe he could of come out more popular had he ended things differently.
I think "read my lips", coupled by the liberal media at their orgasmic zenith of influence in bed with Clinton had more to play on this. Of course, the idiots that voted for Clinton deserve some of the credit as well, sighting that character doesn't matter, but, as they say, they had good intentions. ;>
It cost him my vote. I didn't like that he broke the tax pledge, but I would have held my nose and voted for him, had he not done this, too. (No, I didn't vote for Clinton -- but I don't regret my third party vote that year, either.)
This article is, imho, nothing but a weak-kneed apologia. Even so, I would accept this excuse, if they had added one more paragraph:
"Regardless of the decisions we made a decade ago, all thinking people must recognize that circumstances have changed. The United States now has no choice but to take quick, effective action, and it is time for all Americans to rally around the Commander in Chief."
It is disappointing for Scowcroft to have been second guessing the current Administration on this issue, these past for weeks. It is incomprehensible that Dubya's own father should omit any sign of support for the current policy.