Iraq's Response to U.S. War Plans

STRATFOR ^ | 16 September 2002 | Staff

[Isle of sanity in CA]

Any invasion of Jordan would stretch his supply lines too thin. Those troops would be demoslished from the air, assuming that they don't surrender en masse to helicopters and the press corps. Remember his armor is marginal at best and his ability to fuel it is almost non-existant.

Not to mention that would leave him even more exposed to an amphibious assault...

[M. T. Cicero II]

Your scenario is definitely a concern.

[Grut]

... or (b) we'll say f*** it and take everyone on.

In which case, having declared "You're either with us or with the terrorists" we'll discover that, gosh....

[Maximum Leader]

Thats a good point.

Frankly its in our interest for tyrants to bail out and live in exile instead of rooting them out by force.

For example, Slobo left office in Yugoslovia more or less peacefully and he should be retired and living in Moscow now, instead his own trial for war crimes. How motivated is any other dictator, from Castro to Hussein, to give up power, when they see that?

[madvlad]

Well, if the idiot keeps the majority of his
crack forces in urban areas, lightening seizures
of oil fields and other non-urban objectives
are going to be a cakewalk.

Agreed. Air power will be used w/ extreme
prejudice. I still think one can seige the
major cities allowing people to leave at
any time.

It goes wo/ saying that specfor will play
a major, ongoing role in any campaign in
Iraq.

Mad Vlad