[frmrda]

Coop the bad news here is the trending. Both Allard and Hutchison have essentially lost whatever lead they had. This poll on Hutchison sounds suspect, its out of whack with others, and the equal polling in each district doesn't seem to take into account the voting percentages therein (I doubt all congressional districts vote in the same percentage).

[Coop]

I disagree on Allard. He hasn't lost his lead, unless you take Zogby as Gospel (and I don't). In the last six weeks we have (in order from most recent to oldest) a Zogby tie, a Dem poll showing Allard up by two, a GOP poll showing Allard up by 11, and a news poll with Allard leading by 8. Unless you're looking at numbers I haven't seen, Allard has not lost his lead. He's probably up about 6-7 points now. He has been vulnerable, and he's still vulnerable. But remember he's already beaten Strickland once, and the CO GOP has significantly increased its voter numbers in the past few years.