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New poll shows Senate race tight [NH; also Gov race, NH-01, NH-02]
Boston.com ^ | 10/5/02 | Associated Press

Posted on 10/06/2002 8:20:06 AM PDT by BlackRazor

Edited on 04/13/2004 2:08:24 AM PDT by Jim Robinson. [history]

CONCORD, N.H. (AP) A poll published Saturday said New Hampshire's U.S. Senate race is much closer than a different poll two days earlier indicated.

The new Research 2000 poll had Republican John E. Sununu up by 4 percentage points over Democrat Jeanne Shaheen. An American Research Group poll released Thursday had Sununu ahead by 21 points.


(Excerpt) Read more at boston.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: New Hampshire
KEYWORDS: bass; benson; bradley; clark; congress; fernald; governor; house; newhampshire; senate; shaheen; sununu; swett

1 posted on 10/06/2002 8:20:06 AM PDT by BlackRazor
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To: conservative_2001; Coop; rightwingbob; DeaconBenjamin; Congressman Billybob; Vis Numar; mwl1; ...
Poll Ping!

I had a feeling the American Research Group polling was too good to be true.

If you want on or off my poll ping list, let me know!

2 posted on 10/06/2002 8:21:08 AM PDT by BlackRazor
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To: BlackRazor
Pollster Del Ali said Smith write-ins could mean trouble for Sununu

I don't think the write-ins will turn out to be a significant factor and would be suprised if they amount to even 1%. How many people are going to bother doing it, particularly understanding that in doing so they are only helping to elect Shaheen?

3 posted on 10/06/2002 8:40:05 AM PDT by governsleastgovernsbest
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To: BlackRazor
Though ''others'' were lumped together, lame-duck Republican Sen. Bob Smith undoubtedly was the choice of some of those polled.

I believe the only other candidate on the ballot is the Libertarian, Ken Blevens. I would doubt he would get more than 2% of the vote, if that, so Smith must be getting at least 2% in this poll.

4 posted on 10/06/2002 8:46:58 AM PDT by RJCogburn
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To: KQQL
fyi
5 posted on 10/06/2002 8:52:17 AM PDT by Free the USA
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To: All
Retired Disabled Veterans need your help, or buddy can you spare a minute or two? Attention: VetsCoR
6 posted on 10/06/2002 8:57:47 AM PDT by B4Ranch
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To: BlackRazor
You know with all the SLEAZZZZY the rats have been vomiting out lately, I CAN NOT BELIEVE the american people are still willing to put these evil RATS in office! I'm afraid this country is going down the tubes FAST!
7 posted on 10/06/2002 8:58:16 AM PDT by RoseofTexas
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To: BlackRazor; Torie; deport
The ARC poll was fake...... there is no way Sununu was ahead by 21%

8 posted on 10/06/2002 11:25:22 AM PDT by KQQL
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To: BlackRazor; Torie
Research 2000, based in Rockville, Md

What kinda record does R 2000- have.....
9 posted on 10/06/2002 11:30:05 AM PDT by KQQL
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To: KQQL
Here is their poll for the presidential election. Their state by state numbers look pretty good overall. I think the poll is reliable.


New Hampshire 

- Gore, 46 percent 

- Bush, 42 percent 

- Nader, 2 percent 

- Buchanan, 1 percent 

Oct. 30-Nov. 1, 600 LV, MoE 4 percentage points, Research 2000 


10 posted on 10/06/2002 11:48:37 AM PDT by Torie
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To: Torie
thanks...
11 posted on 10/06/2002 11:55:03 AM PDT by KQQL
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To: Torie
P.S .
I don't think SCOTUS has the 5 votes for relief/injuction for the NJSC case...it's been more than 48 hours...it's not looking good for Forrester.
12 posted on 10/06/2002 11:57:00 AM PDT by KQQL
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To: Bryan; Dog Gone
@
13 posted on 10/06/2002 11:57:36 AM PDT by KQQL
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To: Torie
The actual vote totals in 2000 were 273,559 for Bush, 266,348 for Gore, 22,198 for Nader, and a few thousand for other candidates. That works out to:

Bush 48.2%
Gore 47.0%
Nader 3.9%.

The poll underestimated Bush's support and Nader's support--between the poll and the actual election, the media was hammering Bush over the 1976 DUI story, and the Democrats were pressuring Nader supporters to vote for Gore.

Bob Smith might be able to persuade some of his followers to vote for Sununu, but maybe he doesn't care if the Democrats retain control of the Senate.

14 posted on 10/06/2002 12:19:16 PM PDT by Verginius Rufus
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To: Verginius Rufus
Well the poll outfit's numbers state by state were as good as anybody's. I didn't see a consistent Dem bias.
15 posted on 10/06/2002 12:27:49 PM PDT by Torie
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