Skip to comments.Poll: Dead Heat in Colo. Senate Race [Allard up 41-38]
Posted on 10/15/2002 6:40:54 AM PDT by BlackRazor
Poll: Dead Heat in Colo. Senate Race
Colorado Incumbent Sen. Wayne Allard, Democrat Tom Strickland in Dead Heat, Another Poll Shows
The Associated Press
D E N V E R, Oct. 15 The second poll in four days shows Republican Sen. Wayne Allard and Democratic challenger Tom Strickland in a dead heat just three weeks before the election.
The new poll, conducted Wednesday through Saturday, showed 41 percent supported Allard and 38 percent supported Strickland, with a sampling error margin of 4.5 percentage points. Fourteen percent were undecided.
The poll, released Monday, was sponsored by The Denver Post, KUSA-TV and KOA radio.
A survey last week for the Rocky Mountain News and KCNC-TV showed Allard with a 39-35 lead over Strickland with a sampling error margin of 4.5 percentage points.
Fifty-eight percent of the 500 likely voters surveyed by Denver-based Ciruli Associates said negative ads have lowered their opinions of both candidates.
"Neither of them can pull ahead or even move," pollster Floyd Ciruli said. "They're stuck in an orgy of negativity."
Allard remains in very dangerous ground, at well below 50% in most polls. However, he has held a slight lead in three of the four polls released over the past week.
If you want on or off my poll ping list, let me know!
Actually this race isn't your normal incumbant/new challenger race, IMO.
Strickland(D) is a well known entity and this is a rematch of the race of six years ago.
This will be about turnout with Allard squeaking it out like he did six years ago, IMO.
Uhh maybe because he is a well known entity in Colorado. He still has his base of support from his last try at the Senate in 96.
Like I stated before this race cannot be characterized as a new challenger against the incumbant. This is a rematch of six years ago and I predict the same results, Allard wins in a squeaker.
Are the Smith Pod People threatening to stay home?
Be Seeing You,
Edwards especially. His face should be the definiton of ambulance chaser in the Dictionary.
I tend to agree. The poll numbers certainly favor Strickland, though he's been unable to really move in months. And I don't expect a huge break in undecideds since Strickland is fairly well known.
Allard has more money, and there are also more Pubbies in CO than the last time these two met.
Not exactly. It's even worse. They're organizing a couple of write-in campaigns for Smith, and the good Senator is nowhere to be found to publicly ask them to stop.
I really didn't care who won that race, but I was definitely concerned the Smith folks would act like little children. Unfortunately my fears came to pass.
I don't believe that most of the rational Smith supporters will want to waste their vote.
Sent you a private Freepmail about Simon/Davis polls. Freepmail me back, please.
Be Seeing You,
The repubs have a 96 hour team assembled from paid "volunteers" (almost 700 so far) who are taking the last four days of the election off work and walking precincts and making calls.
This is the most concerted get out the vote effort ever assembled by Pubbies in Colo history. We have, in addition, a popular Repub governor running.
This will take Allard over the top in a squeaker.
I don't agree ol'pro. Our Repub registration now significantantly exceeds the Dems. Ten years ago, they were almost even.
Unlike california, our Suburban base is staunchly Republican. I know, I live in South Jeffco and go to the party caucuses. That doesn't seem to be changing a lot with the influx of Californians. The folks who leave California for the real west are doing so to get away from California and seem to be disproportionately conservative.
The greenies have some base out here. But in the general population, it tends to be "pretty mountains" type environmentalism more than the "save the green spotted tree slug" type. The fires and the water issues have resounded in the populace. It's green, as long as it doesn't hurt. Since most of the modern radical environmental agenda will hurt, and hurt a lot, this is a long term winner for us.
And you can see these factors playing out in the senate and governor's races. The dems are running from any specific stand on thinning forests and water storage because they know the issues are bigtime losers.